FNUS73 KMQT 110949 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCK LAKE - HEAD OF FIRE...MI DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 549 AM EDT MON JUN 11 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0528 EDT ON JUNE 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY. GUSTS MAY REACH 25 MPH. WITH TEMPERATURES A LITTLE LOWER THAN YESTERDAY AND MORE MOISTURE IN THE AIR...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY SHOULD ONLY FALL TO AROUND 50 PERCENT TODAY. AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP...AND THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON WHICH COULD PRODUCE STRONG WINDS AND HAIL. ALTHOUGH RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD BE UNDER ONE-QUARTER INCH...IF A STRONGER STORM PASSES OVER THE AREA...RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD BE CONSIDERABLY HIGHER. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL END BY MIDNIGHT. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AS THE FRONT PASSES MID TO LATE EVENING. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO VEER TO A WESTERLY DIRECTION AFTER MIDNIGHT. TUESDAY WILL BE MUCH COOLER WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO 25 TO 30 MPH. THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL FEATURE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES...WITH NO WIDESPREAD RAIN EXPECTED. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 82. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 51 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........4...OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 28 TO 52 MPH INCREASING TO 37 TO 54 MPH LATE. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (543) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1005) BY LATE MORNING. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1500-2500 FT AGL LATE. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.19 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)...........49 53 57 54 50 54 57 62 66 71 66 62 WEATHER COV....... ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE...... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP..............70 73 76 79 80 79 79 79 80 80 78 76 RH................62 58 54 51 51 53 56 54 52 52 52 54 GENERAL WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S GENERAL WIND SPD..14 14 14 17 17 17 16 16 16 14 14 14 GENERAL WIND GST..20 20 20 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 VINDX KT-FT/100...76 215 387 543 583 598 608 783 934 1005846 571 MIX HGT (KFT).....0.3 0.7 1.3 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.5 2.1 1.5 HAINES INDEX......4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 50. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 92 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 49 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (115). LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2 UNTIL 0100...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1500 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.05 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%)...........58 58 59 59 59 60 60 57 54 52 49 46 WEATHER COV.......SCT SCT SCT ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE......TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP..............74 72 70 67 64 60 56 54 53 52 51 51 RH................56 58 61 64 69 75 80 88 89 90 91 92 GENERAL WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW W W W W W W GENERAL WIND SPD..12 12 12 10 10 10 10 10 10 13 13 13 GENERAL WIND GST..20 20 20 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 VINDX KT-FT/100...336 209 140 115 123 164 204 207 209 244 330 458 MIX HGT (KFT).....0.9 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.5 HAINES INDEX......4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 53. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 75 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 18 TO 23 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25 TO 44 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (965) DECREASING TO GOOD (405) EARLY IN THE EVENING. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3200 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)...........43 45 47 49 50 52 54 48 42 37 31 25 WEATHER COV....... WEATHER TYPE...... TEMP..............50 50 51 51 50 49 48 48 47 47 47 47 RH................92 89 85 82 80 79 78 78 77 75 76 76 GENERAL WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W NW NW NW GENERAL WIND SPD..17 17 17 18 18 18 18 18 18 17 17 17 GENERAL WIND GST..25 25 25 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 VINDX KT-FT/100...578 693 817 901 965 949 920 821 673 558 474 405 MIX HGT (KFT).....1.9 2.4 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.0 2.6 2.2 1.9 1.6 1.4 HAINES INDEX......2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 $$ FORECASTER...ROLFSON REQUESTED BY...CELESTE CHINGWA TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120611.DUCKL.01/MQT