FNUS73 KMQT 120950 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCK LAKE - TAIL OF FIRE...MI DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 550 AM EDT TUE JUN 12 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0521 EDT ON JUNE 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...MUCH COLDER AIR WILL ARRIVE TODAY ON BREEZY WEST WINDS WHICH WILL BECOME NORTHWEST FOR THE AFTERNOON. WIND GUSTS WILL TOP OUT AROUND 30 MPH. WITH THE COLDER AIR ARRIVING...TEMPERATURES AT THE FIRE SITE WILL SLOWLY FALL THROUGH THE LOWER 50S THIS MORNING AND INTO THE UPPER 40S FOR THE AFTERNOON HOURS. ALONG WITH THE COOL AIR...RELATIVELY HUMIDITY WILL ONLY FALL TO AROUND 70 PERCENT TODAY. THE CHILLY AIR WILL ONLY BE HERE BRIEFLY AS SOUTH WINDS RETURN WEDNESDAY ON THE BACKSIDE OF DEPARTING HIGH PRESSURE. UNDER SUNNY SKIES...HIGHS WEDNESDAY WILL REBOUND TOWARD THE MIDDLE 70S. IT WILL ALSO BE MUCH DRIER WEDNESDAY WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 25 TO 30 PERCENT. FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK...NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED...AND HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 70S. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE LOW AROUND 30 PERCENT AGAIN ON THURSDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 57. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 69 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 16 TO 21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 23 TO 40 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (615) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1097) IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO GOOD (582) EARLY IN THE EVENING. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100-3700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....TRACE. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)...........71 77 83 89 86 83 80 72 64 56 43 31 WEATHER COV....... ISO WEATHER TYPE...... RW TEMP..............53 52 52 51 50 50 49 48 48 48 48 47 RH................88 87 85 84 82 80 79 78 75 72 71 71 GENERAL WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW GENERAL WIND SPD..12 12 12 14 14 14 17 17 17 14 14 14 GENERAL WIND GST..25 25 25 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 VINDX KT-FT/100...167 257 362 475 549 615 695 878 10561097880 582 MIX HGT (KFT).....0.7 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.5 3.0 3.5 3.7 3.0 2.1 HAINES INDEX......3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 36. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 MPH OR LESS AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 36 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1200 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%)...........18 15 11 8 8 7 7 6 5 4 6 7 WEATHER COV....... PTY WEATHER TYPE...... FST TEMP..............48 45 43 42 41 40 40 39 38 38 38 42 RH................69 77 85 89 90 90 90 92 95 96 100 90 GENERAL WIND DIR..NW NW NW W W W W W W SW SW SW GENERAL WIND SPD..10 10 10 6 6 6 4 4 4 4 4 4 GENERAL WIND GST..20 20 20 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 VINDX KT-FT/100...318 180 100 58 37 38 43 40 38 33 0 0 MIX HGT (KFT).....1.2 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 HAINES INDEX......3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 74. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 27 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 12 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (475) INCREASING TO GOOD (582) LATE. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800-7200 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 4900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)...........8 10 12 14 15 17 19 18 18 17 16 16 WEATHER COV....... WEATHER TYPE...... TEMP..............48 54 61 67 68 68 68 70 71 72 72 69 RH................78 59 45 36 33 31 30 29 28 27 27 30 GENERAL WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S S GENERAL WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 GENERAL WIND GST..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100...20 135 189 201 217 284 404 475 539 579 582 494 MIX HGT (KFT).....0.3 2.2 4.7 6.7 7.2 7.1 6.7 6.8 6.7 6.4 5.8 4.9 HAINES INDEX......3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...ROLFSON REQUESTED BY...CELESTE CHINGWA TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120612.DUCKL.02/MQT