FNUS72 KJAX 132057 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR C-43 OR C104 RX BURN...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 457 PM EDT WED JUN 13 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1645 EDT ON JUNE 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WEAK FRONT OVER THE AREA WILL PUSH SOUTH OF THE AREA LATE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS WELL NORTH OF THE AREA. THIS WILL SET UP ONSHORE FLOW FRIDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. WINDS WILL SHIFT INTO THE NORTHEAST DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON ON THURSDAY. SCATTERED STORMS ARE FORECAST FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...SOME OF WHICH WILL BE STRONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS IN ADDITION TO FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 71. RH..................MAX 99 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1000 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........WEST 2 TO 9 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....32 DECREASING TO 5 EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........73 76 67 58 49 47 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP............88 84 78 74 73 72 RH..............55 62 75 88 94 98 20 FT WIND......W 6 W 6 W 3 W 2 W 2 W 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3000 2300 1400 800 500 200 TRANSPORT WIND..W 9 W 8 W 9 W 7 W 2 W 2 LVORI...........1 3 4 5 6 9 DISPERSION INDX.34 6 5 4 3 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 30 20 10 10 LAL.............3 3 3 2 1 1 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 90. RH..................MIN 52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3 UNTIL 1600...THEN 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-3800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 15 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 28 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 39 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 30. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........45 43 54 66 77 75 WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD SCTTRD NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............72 73 81 86 89 85 RH..............99 95 73 59 54 60 20 FT WIND......W 2 NW 3 N 5 N 6 N 8 NE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)....100 400 1900 3000 3500 3000 TRANSPORT WIND..W 2 NW 3 NE 6 E 8 N 9 NE 9 DISPERSION INDX.2 4 15 31 40 31 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 20 50 60 LAL.............1 1 1 2 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...PETERSON REQUESTED BY...MIKE WILLIAMS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120613.C43OR.01/JAX