FNUS75 KBOU 140840 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ARKANSAS...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 245 AM MDT THU JUN 14 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FIRE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND WINDS SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY ON BEFORE TURNING TO THE SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. HUMIDITIES WILL BE ALSO HIGHER BUT STILL ONLY IN THE 10-15 PERCENT RANGE. BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THERE WILL BE SOME INCREASE IN MOISTURE WHICH WILL LEAD TO ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. EXPECT GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH WITH THE SHOWERS BUT ONLY BRIEF RAIN. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1300...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1600...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS A FEW DRY AFTER 1500. MAX TEMPERATURE.....78. MIN HUMIDITY........11-15%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN NORTHEAST 7-13 MPH UNTIL 1300...THEN SOUTHEAST 8-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 14400-15400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....48. MAX HUMIDITY........50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 7-11 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTH 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......13800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 0700...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1500...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500. MAX TEMPERATURE.....78. MIN HUMIDITY........12%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 13400-14400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 80. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ARKANSAS. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/14-02 9 0 0 52 36 W 6 6 4 1 W17 174 W 8 1263 P 06/14-03 9 0 0 50 39 W 7 7 4 1 W15 153 W 8 1091 P 06/14-04 9 0 0 49 38 W 7 7 4 1 W14 154 W 8 1042 P 06/14-05 9 0 0 49 36 W 6 6 5 1 W15 155 W 7 993 P 06/14-06 3 0 0 49 34 W 6 6 5 1 W16 154 W 7 930 P 06/14-07 3 0 0 51 32 NW 6 6 5 1 W16 849 NW 6 2429 P 06/14-08 3 0 0 56 30 NE 7 7 5 1 W17 1544 N 5 3927 P 06/14-09 3 0 0 61 26 E 7 7 5 1 W17 2240 NE 2 5426 P 06/14-10 23 0 0 66 21 E 6 6 5 1 W17 6107 E 6 50966 F 06/14-11 23 0 0 70 17 SE 6 6 4 1 SW18 9974 S 9 96507 G 06/14-12 23 10 2 73 15 SE 6 6 4 2 SW18 13841 SW12 142048 V 06/14-13 41 10 2 74 14 SE 8 8 4 2 SW18 14455 SW13 155760 E 06/14-14 41 10 2 75 15 SE10 16 3 2 SW18 15068 S13 169472 E 06/14-15 41 10 2 76 15 SE12 18 3 2 S18 15682 S14 183183 E 06/14-16 51 10 2 76 15 SE12 17 3 2 S18 15030 S14 176191 E 06/14-17 51 10 2 76 15 SE10 16 3 2 S18 14378 S14 169199 E 06/14-18 51 10 2 74 15 SE 8 13 3 2 S18 13726 S14 162207 E 06/14-19 39 10 2 72 17 E 7 7 3 2 S20 10232 S13 119263 V 06/14-20 39 10 2 67 20 NE 5 5 3 2 SW20 6737 E13 76319 G 06/14-21 39 10 2 63 25 NE 3 3 3 2 SW20 3243 E12 33375 P 06/14-22 39 10 2 60 30 NE 2 2 3 2 SW21 2723 E13 29849 P 06/14-23 39 10 2 58 35 CALM 1 3 2 SW22 2202 E14 26323 P 06/15-00 14 4 1 55 40 CALM 1 3 1 SW22 1682 SE16 22797 P 06/15-01 14 4 1 54 44 CALM 1 3 1 SW21 1230 SE12 15590 P 06/15-02 14 4 1 52 47 S 2 2 3 1 SW18 777 S 8 8383 P 06/15-03 35 4 1 50 49 SW 3 3 3 1 SW15 325 SW 5 1175 P 06/15-04 35 4 1 50 50 SW 5 5 3 1 SW13 363 SW 5 1685 P 06/15-05 35 4 1 50 48 SW 5 5 3 1 SW10 401 SW 6 2194 P 06/15-06 35 3 1 50 46 SW 6 6 3 1 SW10 439 SW 7 2704 P 06/15-07 18 3 1 52 39 SW 6 6 3 1 SW10 1274 SW 7 8704 P 06/15-08 18 3 1 57 30 SW 6 6 4 1 SW13 2110 SW 8 14705 P 06/15-09 18 7 1 62 23 SW 6 6 4 1 SW16 2945 SW 8 20705 P 06/15-10 18 7 1 67 18 SW 7 7 4 1 SW16 5893 SW 8 48419 F 06/15-11 18 7 1 70 15 S 8 8 3 1 SW18 9511 SW 9 84337 G 06/15-12 46 10 2 73 13 S 9 9 3 1 SW20 13130 SW10 120255 V 06/15-13 46 10 2 75 12 S10 10 3 1 SW18 13578 SW13 144116 V 06/15-14 46 10 2 76 12 S12 12 3 1 SW17 14027 SW14 167976 E 06/15-15 54 23 5 76 13 S12 12 3 3 SW16 14475 SW15 191837 E 06/15-16 54 23 5 76 13 S12 12 3 3 SW16 14008 SW15 182574 E 06/15-17 54 23 5 76 15 SW10 10 3 3 SW17 13542 SW15 173312 E 06/15-18 54 23 5 74 16 SW 8 13 3 3 SW17 13075 SW15 164049 E 06/15-19 46 15 3 72 19 S 6 6 3 3 SW18 9472 SW12 113804 V 06/15-20 46 15 3 68 24 SE 3 3 3 3 SW20 5868 S 9 63559 G 06/15-21 46 15 3 63 29 CALM 1 3 3 W20 2265 S 7 13314 P 06/15-22 46 15 3 60 34 CALM 1 3 3 W17 1602 S 6 9172 P 06/15-23 46 15 3 58 39 W 2 2 3 3 W15 938 SW 5 5030 P 06/16-00 46 15 3 56 44 W 3 3 3 3 W12 275 SW 3 888 P 06/16-01 26 3 1 54 48 W 5 5 3 1 W 8 246 W 5 866 P 06/16-02 26 3 1 53 51 NW 5 5 3 1 W 6 218 W 5 845 P 06/16-03 26 3 1 51 54 NW 5 5 3 1 W 5 189 NW 5 823 P 06/16-04 26 3 1 50 55 NW 3 3 3 1 W 6 500 NW 7 4148 P 06/16-05 26 3 1 50 55 NW 3 3 4 1 SW 8 812 N 9 7473 P 06/16-06 43 7 1 50 54 NW 3 3 4 1 SW12 1123 N12 10798 P 06/16-07 43 7 1 53 47 N 6 6 4 1 SW14 1818 N10 15790 P 06/16-08 43 7 1 57 38 N 9 14 4 1 SW16 2513 N10 20781 P 06/16-09 43 10 2 62 31 NE12 18 4 1 SW18 3209 N 9 25772 P 06/16-10 43 10 2 66 25 NE13 21 4 1 SW21 7312 N 9 54682 F 06/16-11 43 10 2 70 22 NE14 23 4 1 SW22 11415 W 9 83591 G 06/16-12 60 16 3 72 20 NE14 22 4 3 SW22 15518 SW 8 112501 V 06/16-13 60 16 3 74 19 NE12 20 3 3 SW20 15045 SW 8 109585 V 06/16-14 60 16 3 75 20 NE 9 15 3 3 SW16 14572 SW 8 106669 V 06/16-15 60 16 3 75 21 NE 7 7 2 3 SW13 14099 SW 8 103753 V 06/16-16 60 16 3 75 22 NE 6 6 2 3 SW13 13720 SW 9 109332 V 06/16-17 60 16 3 75 24 NE 5 5 2 3 SW13 13341 SW10 114912 V 06/16-18 56 17 3 73 28 NE 3 3 2 3 SW13 12961 SW10 120491 V 06/16-19 56 17 3 71 31 NE 3 3 3 06/16-20 56 17 3 66 38 N 3 3 3 06/16-21 56 17 3 61 46 NW 3 3 3 06/16-22 56 17 3 58 52 NW 3 3 3 06/16-23 56 17 3 56 58 W 3 3 3 06/17-00 33 7 1 54 63 SW 3 3 1 06/17-01 33 7 1 52 67 SW 3 3 1 06/17-02 33 7 1 50 70 W 5 5 1 06/17-03 33 7 1 48 72 W 5 5 1 06/17-04 33 7 1 48 72 W 5 5 1 06/17-05 33 7 1 47 69 W 6 6 1 06/17-06 31 7 1 47 65 W 6 6 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/SWE REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120614.ARKAN.01/BOU