FNUS75 KBOU 151113 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ARKANSAS...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 510 AM MDT FRI JUN 15 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...MOISTURE LEVELS HAVE INCREASED TODAY WHICH WILL LEAD TO A SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES PASSES BY. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL ALSO BE HIGHER COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE FIRE AREA EARLY SATURDAY MORNING WITH NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY. STRONGER WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-78. MIN HUMIDITY........18-24%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 14000-15000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....49. MAX HUMIDITY........62%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5-11 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN EAST 6-7 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHWEST. MIXING HEIGHT.......13600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 0500. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0900. MAX TEMPERATURE.....75. MIN HUMIDITY........21%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN EAST 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 4 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 11600-12600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ARKANSAS. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/15-04 55 11 2 50 67 SE 6 6 3 1 SW16 262 SE 6 1268 P 06/15-05 55 11 2 50 65 S 5 5 3 1 W14 262 S 6 1187 P 06/15-06 55 11 2 50 64 S 5 5 3 1 W12 263 S 5 1106 P 06/15-07 55 11 2 52 62 S 5 5 3 1 W 8 1298 S 6 7690 P 06/15-08 30 11 2 57 56 SW 5 5 4 1 W 5 2333 SW 7 14273 P 06/15-09 30 6 1 62 47 SW 5 5 4 1 W 3 3369 SW 7 20857 P 06/15-10 30 6 1 67 35 SW 5 5 4 1 W 5 6917 SW 8 53047 F 06/15-11 30 6 1 70 25 SW 6 6 3 1 SW 7 10465 SW 9 85236 G 06/15-12 30 20 4 73 19 SW 7 7 3 3 SW10 14013 SW 9 117426 V 06/15-13 30 20 4 75 18 SW 9 14 3 3 SW13 14356 SW12 145288 V 06/15-14 55 20 4 76 19 SW10 17 3 3 SW15 14698 SW14 173149 E 06/15-15 55 20 4 76 20 SW12 18 3 3 SW16 15041 SW15 201010 E 06/15-16 55 20 4 76 20 SW 9 15 3 3 SW17 14581 SW14 178582 E 06/15-17 55 20 4 76 21 SW 6 6 3 3 SW17 14122 SW13 156153 E 06/15-18 44 15 3 75 23 SW 3 3 3 3 SW18 13662 SW12 133724 V 06/15-19 44 15 3 72 28 S 3 3 3 3 SW18 10146 SW10 97458 G 06/15-20 44 15 3 68 36 E 6 6 3 3 SW20 6629 SE10 61192 G 06/15-21 44 15 3 64 45 NE 7 7 3 3 SW20 3113 E 9 24926 P 06/15-22 44 15 3 61 50 E 7 7 3 3 W17 2501 SE10 20964 P 06/15-23 44 15 3 58 53 S 6 6 3 3 W14 1889 S10 17002 P 06/16-00 32 3 1 56 55 SW 5 5 3 1 W12 1277 S12 13039 P 06/16-01 32 3 1 55 58 SW 6 6 3 1 W 9 1059 S12 10657 P 06/16-02 32 3 1 53 60 W 7 7 3 1 W 8 840 SW12 8275 P 06/16-03 21 3 1 51 62 W 7 7 3 1 W 7 621 W10 5892 P 06/16-04 21 3 1 51 60 W 6 6 3 1 W 7 488 W 9 4264 P 06/16-05 21 3 1 50 58 W 5 5 4 1 SW 8 354 W 7 2635 P 06/16-06 30 7 1 49 58 W 3 3 4 1 SW 9 220 W 6 1006 P 06/16-07 30 7 1 51 54 NW 3 3 4 1 SW 9 1434 NW 5 6174 P 06/16-08 30 7 1 59 39 N 3 3 3 1 SW10 2648 N 5 11343 P 06/16-09 39 10 2 65 32 NE 5 5 3 2 SW10 3862 NE 5 16511 P 06/16-10 39 10 2 69 26 NE 5 5 3 2 SW 8 5370 N 5 17375 P 06/16-11 39 10 2 71 23 E 5 5 2 2 SW 6 8654 W 3 23327 P 06/16-12 61 15 3 73 22 E 6 6 2 3 SW 7 11939 SW 2 29278 P 06/16-13 61 15 3 74 21 E 8 8 2 3 SW15 12149 SW 6 65935 G 06/16-14 61 15 3 75 22 E 9 15 2 3 SW24 12358 SW 9 102593 V 06/16-15 66 24 5 75 23 E10 16 2 3 SW32 12568 SW13 139250 V 06/16-16 66 24 5 75 24 E 9 15 2 3 W36 12080 SW13 135995 V 06/16-17 66 24 5 75 27 E 7 7 2 3 W36 11592 W13 132739 V 06/16-18 52 23 5 74 29 E 5 5 2 3 W33 11103 W14 129483 V 06/16-19 52 23 5 72 32 SE 3 3 2 3 W28 8529 W12 94884 G 06/16-20 52 23 5 70 34 S 3 3 3 3 W21 5955 SW10 60285 G 06/16-21 52 23 5 67 38 SW 3 3 3 3 NW15 3381 SW 9 25686 P 06/16-22 52 6 1 65 43 SW 5 5 3 1 NW15 2538 SW10 20658 P 06/16-23 52 6 1 61 49 SW 5 5 2 1 W17 1694 W13 15629 P 06/17-00 26 6 1 59 54 W 6 6 2 1 W20 850 W14 10601 P 06/17-01 26 6 1 55 60 W 6 6 2 1 W20 648 W13 7672 P 06/17-02 26 6 1 53 64 W 6 6 3 1 W20 445 W10 4744 P 06/17-03 26 2 0 50 66 W 6 6 3 1 W20 242 W 8 1816 P 06/17-04 26 2 0 49 68 W 6 6 3 1 W21 226 W 8 1686 P 06/17-05 26 2 0 48 70 W 7 7 3 1 W21 210 W 8 1555 P 06/17-06 17 0 0 47 71 W 7 7 3 1 W22 194 W 8 1425 P 06/17-07 17 0 0 49 63 W 8 8 3 1 W23 696 W10 8264 P 06/17-08 17 0 0 59 41 W 8 14 3 1 W24 1197 W13 15103 P 06/17-09 17 0 0 67 30 W 9 15 3 1 NW25 1699 W15 21941 P 06/17-10 17 0 0 72 22 W10 16 3 1 W26 5065 W17 92663 G 06/17-11 17 0 0 76 18 W12 18 3 1 W28 8431 W21 163385 E 06/17-12 24 3 1 78 15 W13 21 3 1 W28 11798 W23 234107 E 06/17-13 24 3 1 79 14 W14 22 3 1 W26 12561 W22 238218 E 06/17-14 24 3 1 81 13 W15 23 3 1 W25 13324 W21 242329 E 06/17-15 24 3 1 81 13 W15 24 3 1 W23 14087 W20 246440 E 06/17-16 24 3 1 81 13 W15 23 3 1 W23 13638 W20 235638 E 06/17-17 24 3 1 80 13 W14 22 3 1 W22 13190 W20 224836 E 06/17-18 17 1 0 80 13 W13 21 3 1 W21 12741 W20 214034 E 06/17-19 17 1 0 78 15 W10 17 3 1 W20 8630 W16 143906 V 06/17-20 17 1 0 75 16 W 8 14 3 1 W17 4519 W14 73777 G 06/17-21 17 1 0 72 18 W 7 7 3 1 W16 408 W10 3649 P 06/17-22 17 1 0 69 20 W 7 7 3 1 W13 351 W10 3130 P 06/17-23 17 1 0 66 23 W 7 7 2 1 W 9 294 W10 2610 P 06/18-00 16 0 0 63 25 W 7 7 2 1 W 7 237 W10 2090 P 06/18-01 16 0 0 59 29 W 7 7 2 1 W 7 221 W10 2025 P 06/18-02 16 0 0 56 31 W 8 8 2 1 W 8 204 W12 1960 P 06/18-03 16 0 0 53 34 W 8 13 2 1 SW10 188 W12 1896 P 06/18-04 16 0 0 52 37 W 8 14 2 1 W12 195 W12 1956 P 06/18-05 16 0 0 50 40 W 9 14 3 1 W13 201 W12 2015 P 06/18-06 18 3 1 49 42 W 9 15 3 1 W14 207 W12 2075 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120614.ARKAN.02/BOU