FNUS75 KBOU 151845 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR WIND RIVER ACCIDENT...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1245 PM MDT FRI JUN 15 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON WITH ERRACTIC WIND GUSTS NEAR STORMS UP TO 50 MPH. OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORMS WINDS WILL BE SOUTH AT 10 TO 15 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR 70 AROUND 8500 FEET BUT IN THE MID 50S TO AROUND 60 AROUND 11000 FEET. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 1400...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....72. MIN HUMIDITY........28%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9600-10600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....46. MAX HUMIDITY........61%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-7 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 4 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTHWEST. MIXING HEIGHT.......6600-7600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0900...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0900 UNTIL 1500...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....70. MIN HUMIDITY........30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHEAST 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 9600-10200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WIND RIVER ACCIDENT. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/15-12 36 30 9 68 29 S 6 6 3 4 W10 9270 SW 7 53409 F 06/15-13 36 30 9 69 28 S 6 6 3 4 W12 10100 SW 8 69606 G 06/15-14 58 30 9 70 28 S 6 6 3 4 W14 10931 SW 9 85803 G 06/15-15 58 30 9 70 28 S 6 6 3 4 W16 11761 SW10 101999 V 06/15-16 58 30 9 71 28 S 6 6 3 4 W18 10400 SW 9 81296 G 06/15-17 58 30 9 70 28 SE 7 7 3 4 W20 9039 SW 7 60592 G 06/15-18 54 10 2 69 30 SE 7 12 3 2 W21 7677 SW 6 39889 P 06/15-19 54 10 2 67 34 SE 6 6 3 2 W20 6371 SW 6 33143 P 06/15-20 54 10 2 63 41 SE 5 5 3 2 W17 5065 SW 6 26396 P 06/15-21 54 10 2 59 48 SE 3 3 3 2 W15 3759 SW 6 19650 P 06/15-22 54 10 2 57 51 S 3 3 3 2 W14 2613 SW 6 13490 P 06/15-23 54 10 2 55 52 SW 3 3 3 2 W13 1467 SW 5 7330 P 06/16-00 29 4 1 53 53 W 3 3 3 1 W12 321 SW 5 1170 P 06/16-01 29 4 1 51 55 W 3 3 3 1 W10 290 W 3 969 P 06/16-02 29 4 1 50 57 NW 3 3 3 1 W 9 259 NW 3 768 P 06/16-03 27 4 1 48 59 NW 3 3 3 1 W 9 228 NW 2 567 P 06/16-04 27 4 1 48 59 NW 3 3 3 1 W 8 227 NW 2 548 P 06/16-05 27 4 1 48 58 NW 2 2 3 1 W 8 227 NW 2 528 P 06/16-06 29 7 1 46 61 NW 2 2 3 1 W 9 226 NW 2 509 P 06/16-07 29 7 1 50 54 N 2 2 3 1 W 9 1552 NW 2 3851 P 06/16-08 29 7 1 55 46 E 2 2 3 1 SW10 2878 W 2 7193 P 06/16-09 51 10 2 60 39 SE 2 2 3 2 SW10 4204 W 3 10535 P 06/16-10 51 10 2 63 34 SE 3 3 3 2 SW13 5952 W 5 29525 P 06/16-11 51 10 2 65 32 E 6 6 2 2 SW16 8040 W 6 49567 F 06/16-12 64 20 4 67 30 E 7 12 2 3 SW18 10129 W 8 69609 G 06/16-13 64 20 4 68 30 E 8 13 2 3 SW22 10167 W 8 67095 G 06/16-14 64 20 4 69 31 E 9 15 2 3 W24 10205 SW 7 64582 G 06/16-15 70 33 12 69 32 E 9 15 2 4 W25 10242 SW 7 62068 G 06/16-16 70 33 12 70 33 SE 8 13 2 4 W26 9920 SW 9 74202 G 06/16-17 70 33 12 69 34 S 6 6 2 4 W28 9597 W10 86336 G 06/16-18 48 22 4 68 35 S 5 5 2 3 W26 9274 W13 98470 G 06/16-19 48 22 4 67 37 S 5 5 2 3 W24 7223 W12 73455 G 06/16-20 48 22 4 64 40 S 5 5 2 3 W22 5171 W10 48440 F 06/16-21 48 22 4 58 49 SW 5 5 2 3 W20 3120 SW 9 23425 P 06/16-22 48 5 1 55 52 SW 6 6 2 1 W18 2156 W 8 16150 P 06/16-23 48 5 1 53 52 SW 6 6 2 1 W17 1193 W 8 8874 P 06/17-00 18 5 1 52 52 W 7 7 2 1 W18 229 W 8 1599 P 06/17-01 18 5 1 50 54 W 8 13 2 1 W20 206 W 9 1553 P 06/17-02 18 5 1 49 56 W 8 14 2 1 W23 182 W 9 1507 P 06/17-03 18 0 0 48 56 W 9 15 2 1 W24 158 W10 1461 P 06/17-04 18 0 0 47 59 W 9 15 2 1 W26 167 W12 1600 P 06/17-05 18 0 0 46 59 W10 16 2 1 NW29 175 W12 1740 P 06/17-06 16 0 0 45 60 W10 16 2 1 NW28 184 W12 1880 P 06/17-07 16 0 0 50 50 W10 16 2 1 NW23 1386 W18 34870 P 06/17-08 16 0 0 57 38 W10 17 2 1 NW17 2589 W24 67860 G 06/17-09 16 0 0 63 30 W12 18 2 1 W14 3792 W31 100849 V 06/17-10 16 0 0 67 24 W14 22 2 1 W16 5560 W32 161149 E 06/17-11 16 0 0 70 21 W16 26 2 1 W21 7329 W35 221448 E 06/17-12 30 2 0 72 19 W18 30 2 1 W25 9097 W36 281747 E 06/17-13 30 2 0 74 18 W20 31 2 1 W29 9396 W35 285292 E 06/17-14 30 2 0 74 17 W20 31 2 1 W31 9696 W35 288838 E 06/17-15 30 2 0 75 17 W20 31 2 1 W33 9995 W33 292383 E 06/17-16 30 2 0 75 17 W20 31 2 1 W35 9679 W33 278960 E 06/17-17 30 2 0 75 17 W18 30 2 1 W35 9363 W32 265538 E 06/17-18 23 0 0 74 18 W17 28 2 1 W35 9048 W32 252116 E 06/17-19 23 0 0 72 19 W16 25 2 1 W36 7278 W32 201638 E 06/17-20 23 0 0 69 21 W14 23 2 1 W35 5509 W31 151161 E 06/17-21 23 0 0 62 25 W13 21 2 1 W33 3740 W31 100683 V 06/17-22 23 0 0 59 27 W12 18 2 1 W30 2675 W29 70955 G 06/17-23 23 0 0 58 27 W12 18 3 1 W25 1611 W26 41227 F 06/18-00 21 0 0 56 28 W12 18 3 1 W21 547 W24 11499 P 06/18-01 21 0 0 54 29 W13 20 3 1 W16 468 W23 9602 P 06/18-02 21 0 0 52 31 W13 21 2 1 SW13 390 W22 7705 P 06/18-03 21 0 0 52 32 W14 22 2 1 S 9 311 W22 5808 P 06/18-04 21 0 0 50 35 W14 22 2 1 SW 9 303 W22 5880 P 06/18-05 21 0 0 50 37 W14 22 2 1 SW10 295 W23 5953 P 06/18-06 22 4 1 49 40 W14 22 2 1 SW13 286 W24 6026 P 06/18-07 22 4 1 53 34 W14 23 1 06/18-08 22 4 1 59 28 W15 23 1 06/18-09 22 4 1 65 23 W15 24 1 06/18-10 22 4 1 69 20 W15 24 1 06/18-11 22 4 1 71 18 W16 25 1 06/18-12 28 4 1 73 17 W16 25 1 06/18-13 28 4 1 75 16 W16 26 1 06/18-14 28 4 1 75 16 W17 28 1 06/18-15 28 4 1 76 16 W17 28 1 06/18-16 28 4 1 76 16 W17 28 1 06/18-17 28 4 1 75 16 W17 29 1 06/18-18 27 5 1 75 16 W17 28 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...CRAIG BROUWER REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20120615.WINDR.01/BOU