FNUS75 KGJT 151614
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE SAND...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1014 AM MDT FRI JUN 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0908 MDT ON JUNE 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ONLY SUBTLE CHANGES FROM DAY TO DAY AS CONDITION
REMAIN WARM AND DRY. LOOK FOR A FEW MORE CUMULUS BUILDUPS THIS
AFTERNOON AS A WEAK INFLUX OF MID TO HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE MOVES UP
FROM THE SOUTHWEST...THEN ANOTHER SLIGHT INCREASE ON SATURDAY. ANY
THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORM TODAY SHOULD REMAIN OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN NORTH OF THE FIRE. BUT OUTFLOW WINDS COULD REACH THE SITE.
ON SATURDAY THE FIRE MAY SEE AN ISOLATED STORM OVERHEAD...AND WITH
A LITTLE BETTER COVERAGE TO THE NORTH. THE CONVECTION WILL REMAIN
HIGH BASED PRODUCING GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS...BUT LITTLE RAIN.


.TODAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOST SUNNY (10-20%) UNTIL 1300...THEN
                    INCREASING CLOUDS MAINLY TO THE NORTH
                    (25-35% BY 1600).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 8500 FT...80-83 F.
                    NEAR 9500 FT...75-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 8500 FT...5-10%.
                    NEAR 9500 FT...7-12%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 3-6 MPH INCREASING TO 8-12
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS POSSIBLE
                    FROM NEARBY AFTERNOON CONVECTION.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN IMPROVING TO VERY GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 11000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30%)...THICKER MID TO HIGH
                    LEVEL CLOUDS FOR A PERIOD AROUND MIDNIGHT
                    (50-60%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 8500 FT...52-58 F.
                    NEAR 9500 FT...45-50 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 8500 FT...25-30%.
                    NEAR 9500 FT...35-40%
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5000-7000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) UNTIL 1300...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). AN ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 8500 FT...78-83 F.
                    NEAR 9500 FT...74-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 8500 FT...7-12%.
                    NEAR 9500 FT...9-14%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 3-6 MPH INCREASING TO 8-12
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS
                    POSSIBLE FROM AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...ED LIESER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120615.LITTL.01/GJT