FNUS75 KGJT 152204
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE SAND...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
404 PM MDT FRI JUN 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1527 MDT ON JUNE 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
BUILD UPS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH MID EVENING MAINLY OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE NORTH OF THE FIRE...WITH SOME POSSIBILITY
OF STRONGER OUTFLOW WINDS REACHING THE NORTHERN PERIMETER OF THE
FIRE. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES SHOULD MOVE IN OVERNIGHT AS CONVECTION
DIES OFF...WINDS SHOULD BECOME TERRAIN DRIVEN AS MIXING HEIGHTS
LOWER QUICKLY. LIGHTER WINDS LOOK TO MOVE IN ALOFT OVER SOUTHERN
COLORADO AS THIS AREA WILL BE BETWEEN A SOUTHERN TROF OVER THE
SOUTHWEST STATES AND ANOTHER TROF OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES.
HOWEVER MIXING WILL REMAIN STRONG WITH INVERSIONS BREAKING BY
MID MORNING AND WINDS GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE BY
THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS AS TEMPERATURES WARM SLIGHTLY OVER
THOSE SEEN TODAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). BUILDUPS MAINLY OVER THE
                    HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE NORTH OF THE FIRE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 8500 FEET...80-83 F.
                    NEAR 9500 FEET...67-72 F
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 8500 FEET 9-13%.
                    NEAR 9500 FEET 14-19%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-17 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    25 TO 35 MPH THROUGH EARLY EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR 13100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) WITH BUILD UP MAINLY
                    OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE NORTH OF THE
                    FIRE THROUGH EARLY EVENING...THEN MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 8500 FEET...45-50 F.
                    NEAR 9500 FEET...37-42 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 8500 FEET 25-30%.
                    NEAR 9500 FEET 35-40%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS NEAR 13 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    NEAR 25 MPH BECOMING TERRAIN DRIVEN AFTER SUNSET.
                    SOME HIGHER WINDS GUSTS ON NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF
                    FIRE MAY OCCUR FROM OUTFLOW WINDS FROM CONVECTION.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD THROUGH MID EVENING DECREASING TO POOR
                    AFTER SUNSET.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL DECREASING TO LESS THAN 2000 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 MPH...BECOMING TERRAIN DRIVEN OVERNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 8500 FEET 80-84 F.
                    NEAR 9500 FEET 72-77 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 8500 FEET 9-14%.
                    NEAR 9500 FEET 14-19%
20-FOOT WINDS.......TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS THROUGH MID MORNING TURNING
                    SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL OR LESS THROUGH MID MORNING
                    INCREASING TO 11000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...ED LIESER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120615.LITTL.02/GJT