FNUS73 KUNR 152134
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHASES WOMEN...SD-RBA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
334 PM MDT FRI JUN 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1600 CDT ON JUNE 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...SKIES WILL BECOME MOSTLY CLOUDY LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP TO THE WEST OF THE FIRE...AND
CROSS THE FIRE AREA THIS EVENING. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
BE WINDY NEAR THE FIRE THROUGH EARLY EVENING...THEN BECOME
VARIABLE AND GUSTY AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVE ACROSS TODD
COUNTY. THERE IS A VERY GOOD CHANCE OF A WETTING RAIN THIS EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTH TO NORTHWEST EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING AFTER THE SHOWERS AND STORMS PASS TO THE
EAST...AND POSSIBLY BECOME BREEZY AT 15 TO 25 MPH FOR A WHILE MID
DAY SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...DECREASING THE WINDS TO 5 TO 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH BECOMING VARIABLE
                    AND GUSTY AS STORMS APPROACH THIS EVENING.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 TO 800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 5
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 TO 4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...SR
REQUESTED BY...BERT SHIELDS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120615.CHASE.01/UNR