FNUS75 KGJT 161639
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE SAND
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1039 AM MDT SAT JUN 16 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE SAND...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1034 AM MDT SAT JUN 16 2012

CORRECTED TIME OF FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN THE DISCUSSION

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0917 MDT ON JUNE 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS...

.DISCUSSION...DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEKEND WITH WEST
TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AND SOME GUSTY DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOONS
WITH DEEP VERTICAL MIXING FROM DAYTIME HEATING. WINDS SHOULD
STRENGTHEN SOMEWHAT ON SUNDAY AS THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES...AND THERE IS FIRE
WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWEST COLORADO MONDAY AS THAT SYSTEM
APPROACHES.

.TODAY (UNTIL 1800 MDT)...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%) UNTIL 1200...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%) BY 1500. AFTERNOON BUILDUPS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE NOTICED OVER THE
                    MOUNTAINS WELL NORTH OF THE FIRE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 8500 FT...75-80 F.
                    NEAR 9500 FT...69-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 8500 FT...9-14%.
                    NEAR 9500 FT...10-15%
20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN BECOMING
                    TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH BY 1200 AND
                    INCREASING TO 8-12 MPH BY 1500 WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR INCREASING TO VERY
                    GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....VARIABLE 2 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 12 MPH AFTER 1200.

.TONIGHT (AFTER 1800 MDT)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%0 UNTIL 2000...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%). BUILDUPS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE NOTICED OVER THE
                    MOUNTAINS NORTH OF THE FIRE UNTIL SUNSET.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 8500 FT...44-49 F.
                    NEAR 9500 FT...37-41
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 8500 FT...40-45%.
                    NEAR 9500 FT...47-53%
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 7-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 16 MPH UNTIL
                    SUNSET...THEN BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN FAIR DECREASING TO POOR
                    BY 2130.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11100 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN DECREASING TO
                    1000 FT AGL OR LESS
                    BY 2130.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWN CANYON
                    3 MPH AFTER 2130.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) UNTIL 1300...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 8500 FT...77-82 F.
                    NEAR 9500 FT...72-76 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 8500 FT...8-13%.
                    NEAR 9500 FT...10-15%
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1030...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    5-10 MPH 1200...THEN INCREASING TO 10-14 MPH BY
                    1400 WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1030...THEN FAIR INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 MPH AT 1200 INCREASING TO 21 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$

REQUESTED BY...ED LIESER
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE