FNUS75 KGJT 162343
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE SAND...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
543 PM MDT SAT JUN 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1613 MDT ON JUNE 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR WIND
    ...LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
    TUESDAY EVENING FOR WIND...LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS...

.DISCUSSION...
CRITICAL WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE FIRE SITE TODAY...
AND THEN ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP MONDAY AND TUESDAY. A TROF OF
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN OVER THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS AND THE ACCOMPANYING JET STREAM WILL SAG FURTHER SOUTHWARD EACH
DAY. THIS WILL BRING WINDY CONDITIONS SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THESE
DANGEROUS WIND CONDITIONS WILL ALSO COMBINE WITH LOW HUMIDITY AND
EXTREMELY DRY FUELS.

.TODAY (SUNDAY)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST-
                    SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 12-17 MPH WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO EXCELLENT BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 17600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 20 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT (SUNDAY NIGHT)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........25-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 15 MPH BECOMING NORTH 5 MPH LATE IN
                    THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-1500 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 10 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH INCREASING TO 12-17 MPH
                    WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1000-1100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 16600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 25 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH TUESDAY FOR WIND, LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS..

.TUESDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS 75-85. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
    20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 51-61. HIGHS 89-99. WEST WINDS
    10 TO 20 MPH.



$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...ED LIESER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120616.LITTL.02/GJT