FNUS75 KGJT 161206
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MUSTANG II...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
606 AM MDT SAT JUN 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0127 MDT ON JUNE 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE OVER UTAH
AND COLORADO TODAY CAUSING SOME CLOUD BUILD UP OVER HIGHER
TERRAIN. HOWEVER...NO STORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE BURN SITE
TODAY AND ANY STORMS THAT DO FORM WILL BE WELL TO THE EAST OR
SOUTH. SURFACE WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE WEST NORTHWEST
TODAY WITH SOME AFTERNOON GUSTS REACHING 20 MPH BEFORE SUBSIDING
RIGHT AROUND SUNSET. TOMORROW THE JET STREAM WILL BE JUST NORTH
OF THE BURN SITE. DEEP MIXING IS EXPECTED ALLOWING SURFACE WINDS
OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS POSSIBLY REACHING 40 MPH OVER THE BURN
SITE. BECAUSE OF THIS A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED VALID
FROM NOON TO 9PM SUNDAY. WINDS WILL DIE DOWN OVERNIGHT BUT PICK
UP AGAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH POSSIBLY STRONGER
WINDS EXPECTED. SO FOR MONDAY...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED FROM NOON TO 9PM. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN
TUESDAY.

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH GUSTING TO
                    20 MPH AFTER 2PM.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN SHINKLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120616.MUSTA.01/GJT