FNUS75 KBOU 172043 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ARIZONA...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 243 PM MDT SUN JUN 17 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT MONDAY... .DISCUSSION... A STRONG WESTERLY JET WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING VERY WINDY CONDITIONS AT TIMES. WIND GUSTS THROUGH THIS EVENING MAY REACH 50 MPH. EVEN STRONGER WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY AS A MOUNTAIN WAVE DEVELOPS. WINDS WILL DECREASE SOME MONDAY AFTERNOON...BUT GUST TO 35 MPH WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE. AIRMASS WILL ALSO REMAIN VERY DRY WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BOTTOMING OUT AROUND 10 PERCENT. HUMIDITY RECOVERY TONIGHT WILL BE VERY POOR WITH THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES STAYING IN THE TEENS FOR MOST OF THE NIGHT. THE MAX RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ONLY BE IN THE 20S. RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY OCCUR ON TUESDAY TOO. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80. MIN HUMIDITY........8-13%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS 23-32 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 35-50 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6800-7800 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54. MAX HUMIDITY........24-29%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 25-40 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 36-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 0500. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81. MIN HUMIDITY........7-12%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......VERY WINDY. WEST WINDS 25-40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 18-24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 32-40 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 24-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 8800-9800 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ARIZONA. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/17-14 27 1 0 72 13 NW28 44 5 1 NW14 7416 W38 243321 E 06/17-15 27 1 0 73 12 NW28 44 5 1 W16 7974 W37 253390 E 06/17-16 27 1 0 73 12 NW28 45 4 1 NW18 7808 W38 259026 E 06/17-17 27 1 0 72 13 NW29 46 4 1 NW21 7641 W40 264661 E 06/17-18 24 1 0 71 14 NW30 48 3 1 NW22 7475 W41 270296 E 06/17-19 24 1 0 69 16 NW30 48 3 1 NW22 5579 W39 198288 E 06/17-20 24 1 0 65 19 W31 49 3 1 NW20 3684 W37 126281 V 06/17-21 24 1 0 62 22 W31 49 3 1 NW17 1788 W35 54273 F 06/17-22 24 1 0 59 23 W31 49 3 1 NW16 1302 W35 39520 P 06/17-23 24 1 0 57 23 W31 51 4 1 W15 817 W35 24768 P 06/18-00 18 1 0 55 23 W32 52 4 1 W14 331 W35 10015 P 06/18-01 18 1 0 54 25 W33 54 4 1 W13 318 W36 9959 P 06/18-02 18 1 0 52 27 W36 56 4 1 W13 305 W38 9903 P 06/18-03 18 1 0 51 29 W37 59 4 1 SW13 292 W39 9847 P 06/18-04 18 1 0 50 29 W37 60 4 1 SW14 287 W38 9598 P 06/18-05 18 1 0 50 29 W37 60 4 1 SW14 281 W38 9350 P 06/18-06 6 0 0 50 28 W37 59 4 1 SW15 275 W38 9102 P 06/18-07 6 0 0 52 27 W37 60 4 1 SW15 992 W39 34984 P 06/18-08 6 0 0 57 25 W37 60 5 1 SW16 1710 W40 60867 G 06/18-09 6 0 0 61 22 W37 59 5 1 SW17 2427 W41 86750 G 06/18-10 6 0 0 65 18 W36 58 5 1 SW17 4121 W37 122585 V 06/18-11 6 0 0 68 15 W33 54 4 1 SW18 5814 W33 158421 E 06/18-12 18 0 0 70 13 W31 49 4 1 SW21 7508 W30 194257 E 06/18-13 18 0 0 72 13 W28 44 4 1 SW25 8227 W29 204070 E 06/18-14 18 0 0 72 12 W24 38 3 1 SW30 8946 W28 213883 E 06/18-15 18 0 0 73 12 W21 33 3 1 SW33 9664 SW26 223695 E 06/18-16 18 0 0 73 12 W20 32 3 1 SW33 9766 W26 221978 E 06/18-17 18 0 0 73 12 W21 32 3 1 SW30 9867 W25 220261 E 06/18-18 17 0 0 71 13 W21 33 3 1 SW28 9968 W25 218544 E 06/18-19 17 0 0 69 15 W20 31 3 1 SW25 7311 W26 162368 E 06/18-20 17 0 0 65 18 W18 29 3 1 SW23 4654 W28 106191 V 06/18-21 17 0 0 61 22 W17 28 3 1 SW22 1998 W29 50015 F 06/18-22 17 0 0 58 23 W17 28 3 1 W20 1424 W29 35562 P 06/18-23 17 0 0 56 24 W17 28 2 1 W17 850 W28 21109 P 06/19-00 2 0 0 55 25 W18 30 2 1 W16 277 W28 6656 P 06/19-01 2 0 0 53 26 W20 31 2 1 W16 263 W29 6504 P 06/19-02 2 0 0 51 28 W21 33 3 1 W16 250 W29 6351 P 06/19-03 2 0 0 50 29 W22 35 3 1 W17 237 W30 6199 P 06/19-04 2 0 0 49 30 W22 36 3 1 W17 225 W30 5871 P 06/19-05 2 0 0 49 30 W22 36 3 1 SW18 213 W30 5542 P 06/19-06 3 0 0 49 29 W22 35 3 1 SW18 202 W30 5214 P 06/19-07 3 0 0 52 27 W22 36 3 1 SW18 1080 W31 31648 P 06/19-08 3 0 0 56 24 W22 35 4 1 SW20 1958 W32 58081 F 06/19-09 3 0 0 60 21 W21 33 4 1 SW22 2836 W35 84515 G 06/19-10 3 0 0 64 19 W17 28 3 1 SW26 4977 W31 120549 V 06/19-11 3 0 0 68 18 W14 22 3 1 SW31 7118 W28 156583 E 06/19-12 17 0 0 70 17 W10 10 2 1 SW36 9260 SW24 192617 E 06/19-13 17 0 0 71 16 W 8 8 2 1 SW37 9881 SW23 191561 E 06/19-14 17 0 0 72 16 SW 7 7 3 1 SW37 10503 SW21 190504 E 06/19-15 17 0 0 72 16 SW 7 7 3 1 SW37 11124 SW20 189447 E 06/19-16 17 0 0 73 16 W 7 7 3 1 SW36 10693 SW18 170134 E 06/19-17 17 0 0 72 16 W 7 7 3 1 SW35 10262 SW17 150821 E 06/19-18 17 0 0 70 17 NW 7 7 3 1 SW33 9831 SW15 131508 V 06/19-19 17 0 0 68 18 W 9 9 3 1 SW33 6794 W16 91367 G 06/19-20 17 0 0 64 21 W10 10 2 1 SW32 3756 W17 51226 F 06/19-21 17 0 0 59 25 W12 18 2 1 SW32 719 W17 11084 P 06/19-22 17 0 0 56 28 W10 10 2 1 SW32 602 W14 8206 P 06/19-23 17 0 0 54 30 NW 8 8 2 1 SW35 485 NW12 5328 P 06/20-00 15 0 0 51 32 NW 6 6 2 1 SW37 368 NW 8 2450 P 06/20-01 15 0 0 50 35 NW 5 5 2 1 W44 515 NW 6 2292 P 06/20-02 15 0 0 48 36 N 3 3 2 1 W51 663 NW 5 2133 P 06/20-03 15 0 0 46 38 NE 2 2 2 1 W56 810 NW 2 1975 P 06/20-04 15 0 0 46 39 CALM 1 2 1 W59 945 NW 3 3198 P 06/20-05 15 0 0 45 39 CALM 1 2 1 W58 1080 W 5 4422 P 06/20-06 14 0 0 45 38 CALM 1 2 1 W56 1215 W 6 5646 P 06/20-07 14 0 0 48 34 CALM 1 3 1 W56 2448 W10 31778 P 06/20-08 14 0 0 52 30 CALM 1 4 1 W55 3682 W15 57910 F 06/20-09 14 0 0 56 25 E 2 2 4 1 W55 4915 W20 84042 G 06/20-10 14 0 0 60 22 E 3 3 4 1 W58 5807 W22 110343 V 06/20-11 14 0 0 63 20 SE 3 3 3 1 W61 6699 W23 136643 V 06/20-12 18 0 0 65 18 SE 5 5 2 1 W62 7590 W24 162944 E 06/20-13 18 0 0 67 18 SE 6 6 2 1 W61 7950 W24 166085 E 06/20-14 18 0 0 68 17 E 7 7 2 1 W59 8311 W23 169226 E 06/20-15 18 0 0 68 18 E 7 7 2 1 W55 8671 W23 172367 E 06/20-16 18 0 0 68 18 SE 7 7 2 1 W52 8239 W21 153279 E 06/20-17 18 0 0 68 19 SE 6 6 3 1 W49 7808 SW20 134191 V 06/20-18 20 0 0 66 21 SE 5 5 3 1 W46 7376 SW18 115102 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...FORT COLLINS DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120617.ARIZO.01/BOU