FNUS72 KMFL 191027
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR WUI-8...SEMINOLE TRIBE FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
627 AM EDT TUE JUN 19 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON JUNE 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WIND CIRCULATING ABOUT HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND A
GRADUALLY DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE IN THE SOUTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO WILL
LEAD TO A BRISK EASTERLY WIND ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY. CURRENT
EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH WILL BECOME EAST BY 1100 AM EDT
AT 12 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 2O MPH. A FEW LIGHT BUT FAST MOVING
SHOWERS MAY MOVE OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING BUT THIS AFTERNOON THE CHANCE
OF SHOWERS INCREASE TO 20 PERCENT. IF A SHOWER PASSES OVER THE BURN SITE,
STRONGER WIND GUSTS MAY BE POSSIBLE. ONE CANNOT RULE OUT A POSSIBLE THUN
DERSTORM AS WELL.

WITH INCREASING EASTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS, DISPERSION WILL BE GENERALLY
GOOD.

FOG WILL BE LIMITED TONIGHT, IF AT ALL, AS WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
GO CALM BUT MAINTAIN SOME EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND FLOW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 52 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....33 INCREASING TO 52 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........40     40     40     40     40     70
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
TEMP............79     86     89     88     84     77
RH..............79     63     54     55     69     84
20 FT WIND......NE 6   E 8    E 10   E 10   E 10   E 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     20     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....2600   4500   4500   4500   4000   4000
MIXNG WIND......NE 12  E 15   E 20   E 20   E 18   E 18
DISPERSION IDX..33     55     55     55     48     48
LVORI...........3      1      1      1      3      4
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     30     30     40
LAL.............1      1      2      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....29 DECREASING TO 10 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE MORNING.
                    SHOWERS LIKELY THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 63 PERCENT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....26 INCREASING TO 40 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ROTHFUSS
REQUESTED BY...LEROY YATES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120619.WUI8_.01/MFL