FNUS72 KMHX 200918 AAA FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR DAD FIRE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 518 AM EDT WED JUN 20 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1517 EDT ON JUNE 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST AND AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDING ALOFT WILL BRING HOT AND GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FIRE AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...HOWEVER CANNOT RULE OUT A VERY ISOLATED SHOWER TO THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPING ALONG THE SEABREEZE THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE THIS WEEKEND AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF SMOKE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 6200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....VARIABLE 2 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............24 37 43 43 43 43 40 36 34 31 26 24 WEATHER COV.........ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS WEATHER TYPE........SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK TSTM COV............ TEMP................68 70 74 79 83 85 87 88 89 88 88 87 RH..................97 93 82 72 63 59 53 50 48 50 52 53 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW W W W W SW SW S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......2 3 3 3 3 3 4 5 5 6 8 10 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 15 15 20 LVORI...............8 6 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 ADI.................2 3 3 3 2 22 11 9 11 18 29 28 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF SMOKE EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............22 18 16 15 13 12 12 11 11 11 12 12 WEATHER COV.........ARS ARS WEATHER TYPE........SMK SMK TSTM COV............ TEMP................85 83 81 79 77 76 76 75 74 72 71 71 RH..................59 63 69 72 76 76 76 79 79 84 87 87 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......8 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 LVORI...............1 1 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 6 6 ADI.................43 43 36 26 12 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 6300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 2 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............12 12 13 21 23 24 26 28 29 29 28 27 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................71 72 76 79 81 84 86 88 88 88 88 87 RH..................90 90 82 74 69 63 57 52 50 50 50 53 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......4 4 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 10 15 15 15 LVORI...............6 6 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 ADI.................4 5 5 4 3 15 12 9 10 16 26 36 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...KENNEDY REQUESTED BY...BILL COATES TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120619.DADFI.01/MHX