FNUS72 KMHX 210928 AAA FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR DAD FIRE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 528 AM EDT THU JUN 21 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1511 EDT ON JUNE 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST AND AN UPPER RIDGE OVERHEAD WILL BRING HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FIRE AREA AGAIN TODAY. THE RIDGE WILL SLIDE EAST FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE FRONT WILL STALL TO THE NORTH OVER THE WEEKEND CONTINUING TO BRING VERY WARM CONDITIONS ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FIRE AREA. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. AREAS OF SMOKE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH LATE THIS AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 6400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 13 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............6 11 13 14 15 15 22 37 44 39 28 23 WEATHER COV.........ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS WEATHER TYPE........SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK TSTM COV............ TEMP................72 73 76 81 85 87 89 91 90 91 90 89 RH..................86 84 79 67 60 56 52 49 49 48 49 51 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW W W W W W SW SW S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......4 4 4 5 5 6 5 5 5 6 7 9 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 15 15 15 LVORI...............5 5 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 ADI.................5 5 6 5 3 15 11 12 16 21 28 37 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF SMOKE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 16 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............20 16 13 14 15 15 17 22 24 29 38 43 WEATHER COV.........ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS WEATHER TYPE........SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK TSTM COV............ TEMP................88 86 83 80 79 78 77 76 75 73 72 71 RH..................54 58 64 71 74 77 78 82 82 88 88 89 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......8 8 8 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 10 10 LVORI...............1 1 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 5 ADI.................46 48 31 20 11 6 5 5 5 5 4 6 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 2700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............39 32 40 40 40 40 41 41 41 42 44 46 WEATHER COV.........ARS ARS WEATHER TYPE........SMK SMK TSTM COV............ TEMP................71 73 76 79 81 83 85 86 86 87 87 86 RH..................89 85 79 73 69 65 61 57 57 55 55 57 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S 20 FT WIND SPD......5 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............6 5 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 ADI.................4 4 5 7 11 23 22 20 20 25 32 38 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...KENNEDY REQUESTED BY...BILL COATES TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120620.DADFI.02/MHX