FNUS73 KMQT 200947 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCK LAKE NEAR PIKE LAKE...MI DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 547 AM EDT WED JUN 20 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0154 EDT ON JUNE 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...PLEASE CONTACT THE NWS BY PHONE OR BY THE FEEDBACK OPTION ON THIS WEBPAGE IF YOU ARE STILL CONDUCTING EVENING AND OVERNIGHT OPERATIONS...AND NEED US TO CALL IF AND WHEN THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE DUCK LAKE AREA. STRONG WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP TODAY AND TONIGHT. CURRENTLY HAVE THUNDERSTORMS GETTING TO THE DUCK LAKE AREA AT 1900 THIS EVENING...BUT IT IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTIONS FOR SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS TO POP UP BEFORE THEN. THIS WILL BE DUE TO LOW PRESSURE ACROSS MINNESOTA SHIFTING INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ONTARIO THIS EVENING...AND TO JAMES BAY THURSDAY MORNING. A COLD FRONT IS POISED TO CROSS DUCK LAKE BETWEEN 0600 AND 0900 THURSDAY...WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE WNW BEHIND THE FRONT. WITH DRY HIGH PRESSURE ROLLING IN...HUMIDITY VALUES SHOULD FALL DURING THE DAY...AND COULD BE LOWER THAN THE 50 TO 60 PERCENT CURRENTLY FORECAST. DRY WEATHER SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS FIGURED THIS WEEKEND...AS A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE SINKS IN FROM ONTARIO. HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD BUILD RIGHT BACK IN FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 19 TO 37 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 51 MPH LATE. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (93). LAL.................1 UNTIL 1900...THEN 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-300 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........57 53 49 45 42 39 37 34 32 30 33 37 WEATHER COV..... ISO WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TEMP............67 71 75 78 80 80 81 82 82 82 80 78 RH..............90 83 75 70 66 64 63 61 60 60 61 64 GENERAL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S GENERAL WND SPD.10 10 10 13 13 13 16 16 16 17 17 17 GENERAL WND GST.18 18 18 23 23 23 24 24 24 24 24 24 VINDX KT-FT/100.58 55 54 56 58 61 65 70 75 83 88 93 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS... BECOMING NUMEROUS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH BY MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 33 TO 56 MPH BECOMING WEST 21 TO 31 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (67). LAL.................2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 3 UNTIL 0400...THEN 4 UNTIL 0600...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-700 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.11 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%).........40 50 60 69 73 76 79 84 89 94 89 83 WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT NUM NUM SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............76 74 73 71 70 69 69 68 67 66 64 62 RH..............67 69 71 72 73 74 75 76 78 80 83 87 GENERAL WND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW GENERAL WND SPD.17 17 17 13 13 13 11 11 11 10 10 10 GENERAL WND GST.22 22 22 20 20 20 17 17 17 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.98 103 105 103 100 95 90 76 67 78 127 166 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MID MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MID MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 19 TO 36 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (181). LAL.................3 UNTIL 1100...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-900 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.03 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........78 72 67 61 53 46 38 36 34 33 30 27 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TEMP............61 61 62 62 62 62 62 63 64 65 64 63 RH..............89 84 77 76 72 69 66 65 64 63 63 65 GENERAL WND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W GENERAL WND SPD.8 8 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 GENERAL WND GST.13 13 13 17 17 17 18 18 18 16 16 16 VINDX KT-FT/100.181 151 104 60 43 46 63 101 144 168 150 109 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.4 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...KF REQUESTED BY...CELESTE CHINGWA TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120620.DUCKL.01/MQT