FNUS76 KMTR 201803
FWSMTR

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROUND VALLEY...EAST BAY REGIONAL PARKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
1103 AM PDT WED JUN 20 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1045 PDT ON JUNE 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL PASS OVER THE BURN SITE ON THURSDAY
PRODUCING MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW. NEARBY
RIDGE TOPS WILL BE MUCH WINDIER THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THERE IS
POTENTIAL THAT UPPER LEVEL WINDS MAY MIX DOWN TO THE BURN SITE AND
WINDS COULD BE STRONGER THAN FORECAST. CONFIDENCE IS MARGINAL FOR
THE STRONGER WINDS AFFECTING THE BURN SITE. LASTLY...THE UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH AND BREEZY LOW LEVELS WILL KEEP THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE
WELL MIXED.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........67-71 AT IGNITION...MAX 74-80.
RH..................50-60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40-50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE LESS THAN 3 MPH IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO WEST TO SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 6 TO 12
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT.

$$
FORECASTER...M_MEHLE
REQUESTED BY...SHAWN ANDERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120620.ROUND.03/MTR