FNUS75 KPUB 210220
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SPIKE BUCK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
820 PM MDT WED JUN 20 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE COLD FRONT MOVED IN FROM THE EAST TODAY...BRINGING EASTERLY
WINDS AND INCREASED HUMIDITIES TO THE SITE.  THIS FRONT WILL REMAIN
IN THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...BEFORE IT BEGINS TO RETREAT
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...ALLOWING DRY...SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AND LOWER
HUMIDITIES TO RETURN FOR FRIDAY.

MODELS ARE INDICATING AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER AND HUMIDITY ACROSS
THE BURN SITE THIS EVENING AND THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.  SKY COVER
IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO MOSTLY CLOUDY LATER THIS EVENING WITH RHS
CLIMBING ABOVE 70 PERCENT BY THURSDAY MORNING.  THE CLOUDS AND HIGHER
HUMIDITIES WILL PROBABLY LINGER UNTIL A LITTLE AFTER SUNRISE THURSDAY
AT WHICH TIME BOTH WILL DECLINE IN RESPONSE TO DAYTIME HEATING.  ONCE
MIXING GETS UNDERWAY THURSDAY MORNING...WINDS SHOULD RETURN TO AN
EASTERLY COMPONENT AT 5 TO 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50F.
MAX HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST WINDS 5-10 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN VALLEY/SLOPE
                    WINDS 2-5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70 PERCENT) UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5-15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...WALROD
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS PAGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120620.SPIKE.01/PUB