FNUS72 KMHX 211937 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR DAD FIRE...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 337 PM EDT THU JUN 21 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1523 EDT ON JUNE 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN TONIGHT. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP INLAND AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLS NORTH OF THE AREA FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND BEFORE PUSHING OFFSHORE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. AREAS OF SMOKE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............32 30 28 28 27 25 23 21 21 21 22 23 WEATHER COV.........ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS WEATHER TYPE........SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK TSTM COV............SCH SCH TEMP................88 86 82 80 79 77 77 76 75 74 74 73 RH..................55 57 65 68 69 73 74 76 79 81 79 80 20 FT WIND DIR......SW S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......8 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 10 10 10 LVORI...............1 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 ADI.................60 11 12 11 10 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF SMOKE EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 7500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............24 26 27 27 28 29 30 31 32 34 39 44 WEATHER COV.........ARS ARS WEATHER TYPE........SMK SMK TSTM COV............ TEMP................74 74 77 81 84 87 89 90 91 91 90 89 RH..................78 79 72 65 61 55 52 49 47 48 51 53 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 LVORI...............4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................8 14 23 30 31 30 35 39 46 51 56 59 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...COLLINS REQUESTED BY...CROATAN OPERATIONS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120621.DADFI.01/MHX