FNUS76 KSEW 220423
FWSSEW

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCHRUND SAR...NPS MT RAINER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
923 PM PDT THU JUN 21 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 2036 PDT ON JUNE 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SEATTLE.

.DISCUSSION...A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW WEST OF THE SOUTHERN BRITISH
COLUMBIA COAST THIS EVENING WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST TO ABOUT 200 MILES
WEST OF THE CENTRAL OREGON COAST FRIDAY AFTERNOON. ONE UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE ROTATING AROUND THE UPPER LOW WILL GIVE AN INCREASING
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA TONIGHT...MAINLY
AFTER MIDNIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT THERE WILL BE A 6 HOUR LULL
IN ACTIVITY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
INCREASE BY ABOUT NOON FRIDAY AND CONTINUE UNTIL LATE EVENING FRIDAY.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 KT ON THE MOUNTAIN WILL TURN SOUTHERLY
OVERNIGHT THEN TURN SOUTHEASTERLY FRIDAY MORNING.

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL HANG AROUND NEAR THE COAST INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK...MAINTAINING SHOWERS OVER THE REGION...ESPECIALLY DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

 FORECAST FOR 20 FOOT WIND SPEED (VALID FOR KAUTZ HELIBASE) ARE 10
 MINUTE AVERAGES. WINDS OVER THE MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS REFER TO FREE
 WIND VALUES.

KAUTZ HELIBASE...
.REST OF THIS EVENING...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. BROKEN CLOUDS WITH BASES AROUND 9000 FT
                    AND AT 15000 FT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

.LATER TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS BECOMING LIKELY WITH A
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. BROKEN CLOUDS BASES
                    7000-9000 FT AND 13000 FEET.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 9 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.05 INCHES.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY AFTER 11 AM. STRATUS WITH
                    BASES 1500 FEET. MULTIPLE LAYERS ABOVE 7000 FEET.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
WIND (20 FT).......
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.31 INCHES.

CAMP MUIR...
.REST OF THIS EVENING...

SKY/WEATHER.........OCCASIONAL FOG.
FREE WIND...........SOUTHWEST 18 TO 30 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

.LATER TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........SKY OBSCURED IN FOG. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS. MULTIPLE CLOUD LAYERS TO OVER 20000
                    FEET.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
FREE WIND...........SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.05 INCHES.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SKY MAINLY OBSCURED IN FOG. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY AFTER 11 AM. MULTIPLE
                    CLOUD LAYERS TO OVER 20000 FEET.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
FREE WIND...........SOUTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.31 INCHES.

CAMP SHURMAN...
.REST OF THIS EVENING...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CLOUD BASES LESS THAN 1000 FEET AGL.
FREE WIND...........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

.LATER TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........SKY OBSCURED IN FOG. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS. MULTIPLE CLOUD LAYERS TO OVER 20000
                    FEET.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
FREE WIND...........SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.05 INCHES.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SKY MAINLY OBSCURED IN FOG. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY AFTER 11 AM. MULTIPLE
                    CLOUD LAYERS TO OVER 20000 FEET.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
FREE WIND...........SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.31 INCHES.

EMMONS GLACIER AT 13000 FT...
.REST OF THIS EVENING...

SKY/WEATHER.........FOG.
FREE WIND...........SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

.LATER TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........SKY OBSCURED IN FOG. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS. MULTIPLE CLOUD LAYERS TO OVER 20000
                    FEET.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 24.
FREE WIND...........SOUTHEAST 30 TO 40 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.05 INCHES.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SKY MAINLY OBSCURED IN FOG. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY AFTER 11 AM. MULTIPLE
                    CLOUD LAYERS TO OVER 20000 FEET.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 25.
FREE WIND...........SOUTHEAST 30 TO 40 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.31 INCHES.

$$


FORECASTER...ALBRECHT
REQUESTED BY...JOHN FEEKES
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20120621.SCHRU.03/SEW