FNUS72 KJAX 221121 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR 2ES...FLORIDA DEP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 721 AM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JUNE 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXIT THE AREA TO THE NORTHEAST TODAY. ONSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A LOW PRESSURE AREA DEVELOPS OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. THIS WILL KEEP RH VALUES ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. EXPECT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. LIGHT EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING AT THE BURN SITE AND PREVAIL FROM THE EAST BY LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. EXPECT A FEW SHOWERS EARLY THIS MORNING WITH INCREASING RAIN CHANCE THROUGH NOON. SOME THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE HIGHEST IN THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS AT AROUND 40-50%. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-3300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........EAST 3 TO 10 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 38. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........76 75 76 75 72 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............76 84 88 88 86 RH..............86 67 59 57 59 20 FT WIND......NE 5 E 6 E 7 E 7 E 7 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1100 2300 3100 3300 3000 TRANSPORT WIND..E 5 E 9 E 10 E 10 E 10 LVORI...........4 3 2 2 1 DISPERSION INDX.11 27 26 28 37 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 50 50 40 LAL.............1 1 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 2100...THEN 2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-700 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 3 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. DISPERSION INDEX....38 DECREASING TO 6. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. LVORI...............6. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........72 70 64 60 54 60 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE NONE TEMP............85 81 77 75 74 72 RH..............62 70 80 87 93 97 20 FT WIND......E 7 SE 6 SE 3 SE 2 SE 5 E 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2100 1300 900 500 300 TRANSPORT WIND..E 12 SE 13 SE 10 SE 8 SE 6 E 2 LVORI...........1 3 4 5 6 8 DISPERSION INDX.38 9 6 5 4 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 20 10 10 10 LAL.............3 3 2 1 1 1 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87. MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 0900...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200-2600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 2 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 14 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 39. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. LVORI...............6. $$ FORECASTER...SHASHY REQUESTED BY...DYLAN SHOEMAKER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120622.2ES__.01/JAX