FNUS72 KJAX 221159
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR C-19...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
759 AM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0810 EDT ON JUNE 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXIT THE AREA TO THE NORTHEAST TODAY. ONSHORE FLOW
WILL PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER THE
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. THIS WILL KEEP RH VALUES ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS.
EXPECT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

AT THE BURN SITE TODAY...A LIGHT NORTHEAST WIND IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING
THEN TURNING MORE EASTERLY IN THE AFTERNOON AT AROUND 10 MPH AND GUSTY.
A FEW SHOWERS THIS MORNING IN THE VICINITY OF THE BURN SITE...BUT WE EXPECT
A BETTER CHANCE DEVELOPING BY LATE MORNING AND CONTINUING INTO THE
AFTERNOON. SOME THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL...MAINLY
BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL 1300...THEN 4 UNTIL
                    1700...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 16 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 36.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40-60 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........80     78     76     75     76
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM STORM TSTORM
TEMP............79     83     87     89     88
RH..............91     77     65     57     60
20 FT WIND......E 8    E 8    E 9    E 9    E 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1300   2400   3200   3400   3300
TRANSPORT WIND..E 8    E 12   E 13   E 15   E 16
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     40     50     60     50
LAL.............1      1      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
TEMP............85     82     78     77     75     74
RH..............63     70     80     85     88     92
20 FT WIND......E 9    SE 6   SE 5   SE 5   SE 5   SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10                          5
CHC OF PCPN (%).50     40     30     20     20     30

.SATURDAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...JOHN RAMSAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120622.C19__.01/JAX