FNUS72 KMHX 221858 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR DAD FIRE...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 258 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1412 EDT ON JUNE 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST BRINGING A BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FIRE AREA LATE TONIGHT. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST WILL CONTINUE TO BRING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AND VERY WARM CONDITIONS. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SETTLE NEAR THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK CONTINUING TO BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FIRE AREA WITH SEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. AREAS OF SMOKE AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............49 48 55 55 56 57 58 58 59 60 62 64 WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC TEMP................87 84 82 81 80 78 78 76 76 74 73 72 RH..................57 61 66 67 68 71 73 76 76 83 86 89 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......11 10 8 7 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 15 15 10 10 10 LVORI...............1 1 1 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 ADI.................60 54 43 37 31 18 10 9 8 8 7 7 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF SMOKE EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............66 69 70 69 66 64 62 60 59 59 58 58 WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC TEMP................72 74 77 80 83 86 87 89 89 89 89 88 RH..................89 85 79 72 65 59 56 54 53 54 54 56 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 LVORI...............5 5 4 3 3 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 ADI.................8 12 13 18 14 26 28 33 50 44 35 26 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...CULLEN REQUESTED BY...CROATAN OPERATIONS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120622.DADFI.02/MHX