FNUS72 KMHX 240950 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR DAD FIRE...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 550 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1413 EDT ON JUNE 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLED WEST OF THE REGION WILL DISSIPATE TODAY WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RESIDES OVER THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY. WE COULD SEE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP ALONG THE SEA BREEZE AGAIN TODAY BRINGING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION MONDAY AND PUSH THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING AHEAD OF THIS FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY BRINGING COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FIRE AREA. HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS RETURN LATE IN THE WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............40 42 44 44 44 31 37 48 54 57 63 66 WEATHER COV.........WID WID CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........FOG FOG RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH TEMP................69 70 73 78 81 84 86 88 88 88 88 86 RH..................100 99 92 80 72 63 59 54 54 54 54 57 20 FT WIND DIR......SE S S S S SW S S SE SE S S 20 FT WIND SPD......1 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 4 5 5 6 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 10 10 15 LVORI...............10 9 8 5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 ADI.................2 2 2 2 2 26 23 19 11 14 19 25 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 12 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 2 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............60 48 42 41 40 39 38 37 36 39 44 46 WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH TEMP................85 83 80 77 76 75 75 74 74 73 72 71 RH..................61 66 72 78 81 83 85 86 88 88 91 92 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S S S SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......6 6 5 5 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 10 10 5 5 LVORI...............1 3 3 3 4 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 ADI.................32 35 29 23 16 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............48 51 53 54 56 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 WEATHER COV......... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC TEMP................71 73 75 78 81 84 86 87 88 88 87 86 RH..................92 90 87 79 72 65 61 59 57 57 59 61 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......3 4 5 5 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............7 6 6 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 ADI.................1 3 4 4 9 20 25 31 36 39 41 43 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...KENNEDY REQUESTED BY...CROATAN OPERATIONS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120623.DADFI.01/MHX