FNUS75 KPUB 232340
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR WALDO CANYON...PSICC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
540 PM MDT SAT JUN 23 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

5:30 PM WIND UPDATE:

I HAVE UPDATED THIS SPOT TO INCREASE CLOUDS OVER THE FIRE SITE.
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OFF TO THE SOUTHWEST ARE MOVING CLOSER TO THE
FIRE SITE. MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY IS IN PARK COUNTY...BUT THE CLOUDS
FROM THE STORMS ARE MOVING OVERHEAD. THERE IS A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE
THAT A DRY THUNDERSTORM COULD GET NEAR THE FIRE SITE THIS EVENING.
IF ANY STORM DO DEVELOP...THEY SHOULD DISSIPATE AFTER 2100 LOCAL.

IF ANY LIGHTNING STRIKES OCCUR IN TELLER COUNTY...I WILL CALL YOU
AND LET YOU KNOW.

THE 5 PM TEXT IS BELOW.

NUMEROUS WEATHER STATIONS ASSOCIATED WITH THE US AIR FORCE ACADEMY
MESONET WEATHER STATION NETWORK CONTINUE TO INDICATE WINDS ARE
SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. PIKES PEAK WEATHER
STATION WERE REPORTING WINDS FROM THE SOUTH AT 10 MPH. WOODLAND PARK
WEATHER STATION WAS SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH.

I DO NOT SEE ANY CHANGE IN THE SHORT TERM FORECAST (BELOW).

WINDS WITH THE WALDO CANYON FIRE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS WILL BE FROM
THE SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 25 MPH. OBSERVATIONS
FROM THE U.S. AIR FORCE ACADEMY ARE SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 25 MPH.

HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS ARE INDICATING THE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHERLY
AT 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER 2000 LOCAL TIME...AND THEN BECOMING LIGHT...LESS THAN
7 MPH...WEST AFTER 2200 LOCAL.

THE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT WEST THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT.

WINDS SHOULD SHIFT TO SOUTHEASTERLY ONCE AGAIN AFTER 1500 LOCAL TOMORROW
MORNING...AND WINDS SHOULD BE IN THE 10 TO 15 MPH RANGE. WINDS COULD
GUST TO 25 MPH DURING TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

I WILL UPDATE THIS FORECAST AROUND 6 PM.

PUEBLO DISPATCH...PLEASE CALL IF YOU WANT ANY MORE SPECIFIC INFORMATION.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...70 PERCENT. VERY ISOLATED DRY THUNDER
                    POSSIBLE THROUGH 2100 LOCAL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64F.
MAX HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SEE WIND FORECAST ABOVE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 0500.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(37 PERCENT).
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SEE WIND FORECAST ABOVE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 15000 FT AGL AFTER
                    1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 0800...THEN
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91F.




$$
FORECASTER...HODANISH
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120623.WALDO.02/PUB