FNUS76 KSEW 231628
FWSSEW

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCHRUND SAR...NPS MT RAINER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
928 AM PDT SAT JUN 23 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0847 PDT ON JUNE 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SEATTLE.

.DISCUSSION...A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS OVER SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
WILL MOVE UP OVER MOUNT RAINIER AFTER 11 AM. THIS ADDITIONAL
MOISTURE WILL MAINTAIN POOR FLIGHT CONDITIONS OVER THE MOUNTAIN
THROUGH 8 PM...WITH WIDESPREAD MOUNTAIN OBSCURATION AND
PREDOMINANT IFR CONDITIONS. VIEWS OF LOCAL MOUNTAIN WEB CAMS
SUGGESTED A CLOUD BASE AROUND 7000 FEET...WITH MAXIMUM TOPS
AROUND 15000 FEET SUGGESTED BY SATELLITE IMAGERY EARLIER THIS
MORNING. THE CLOUD BASES WILL LOWER THIS AFTERNOON AS SHOWERS MOVE
OVER THE AREA AND MAXIMUM TOPS WILL INCREASE. THERE COULD BE SOME
DRYING OVER THE UPPER PART OF THE MOUNTAIN ABOVE 10000 FEET AFTER
8 PM AS DRIER AIR ALOFT MOVES OVER THE AREA. THIS COULD CAUSE SOME
BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER.

OTHERWISE A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY
OFF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. ANOTHER WAVE
OF SHOWERS MAY REACH THE AREA SUNDAY MORNING...BUT IT MAY NOT BE
AS WET AS RECENT SHOWER BANDS.

 FORECAST FOR 20 FOOT WIND SPEED (VALLEYS AND RIDGE TOPS) ARE 10
 MINUTE AVERAGES REFLECTING RAWS WINDS.

.REST OF TODAY...THROUGH 5 PM

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS. SNOW LEVEL 6000 FEET.
THE TERRAIN WILL BE OBSCURED IN CLOUDS AND SHOWERS WITH
PREDOMINANT IFR CONDITIONS. CLOUD CEILINGS (AGL) WILL BE BELOW 300
FEET WITH MAXIMUM CLOUD TOPS (MSL) ABOVE 15000 FEET.

OVER THE SECOND SITE (SUNRISE) CLOUD CEILINGS WILL BE
HIGHER...GUESSING AT 2000 TO 4000 FEET WITH SHOWERS LOWERING THE
CEILING TO 1000 FEET AT TIMES. THIS CANNOT BE REFINED ANY FURTHER
WITHOUT WEATHER OBSERVATIONS.


MAX TEMPERATURE PRIMARY SITE.....AROUND 24.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 28 MPH PRIMARY SITE.
FREE AIR WINDS......SE 30-35 KT TIL NOON...SE 20-30 KT NOON-5 PM
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.25 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...5 PM SATURDAY THROUGH 5 AM SUNDAY.

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
 EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE
MOUNTAIN WILL REMAIN MOSTLY OBSCURED WITH PREDOMINANT IFR
CONDITIONS. THERE WILL BE SOME DRYING ALOFT ABOVE 10000 FEET AFTER
8 PM WHICH MAY OFFER SOME BREAKS IN THE MOUNTAIN OBSCURATION.

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 17.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTH WINDS 23 TO 28 MPH.
FREE AIR WINDS......S-SE 25 KNOTS.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.05 INCHES.

$$
FORECASTER...KAM
REQUESTED BY...GAVIN WILSON/UWE NEHRING KAM TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR .TAG
20120623.SCHRU.02/SEW