FNUS75 KSLC 240445 FWSSLC SPOT FORECAST FOR WOOD HOLLOW NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT 1045 PM MDT SAT JUN 23 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY THROUGH 10 PM MDT SUNDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT MONDAY NIGHT FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS...LOW HUMIDITY AND OUTFLOW WINDS... .DISCUSSION...EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL WILL EXIST THROUGH TOMORROW EVENING AT LEAST. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT WIND TRENDS WILL BE DECREASING A BIT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS VERSUS WHAT HAS BEEN REALIZED OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS. THIS SAID...NEAR SURFACE SOUTHWESTERLY GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH NEAR 30 MPH AGAIN TOMORROW AFTERNOON FOR A WINDOW DURING PEAK HEATING COUPLED WITH HAINES INDICES REACHING HIGH LEVELS AT THAT TIME. MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE SEEPING IN FROM THE SOUTH TOMORROW AS WELL WITH AFTERNOON BUILDUPS EXPECTED OVER THE TERRAIN. A SLIGHT CHANCE EXISTS THAT AN ISOLATED CELL WILL MOVE OVER THE BURN SITE THAT WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL OF DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS...BUT NO WETTING RAINS. MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ON MONDAY WITH RH TRENDS CLIMBING SLIGHTLY OVER CRITICAL LEVELS...BUT WITH THAT WILL COME A BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CANNOT RULE OUT THE CHANCE FOR WETTING RAINS AT THIS TIME...BUT CONFIDENCE PLACES ONLY A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF THIS OCCURRING. DRIER AIR WILL GRADUALLY PUSH INTO THE REGION TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY BUT SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AND RH MAY REMAIN NEAR CRITICAL LEVELS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. .REST OF TONIGHT... LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 ..MODERATE. SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT CLOUD COVER). MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-67. MAX HUMIDITY........30-32 PERCENT. WINDS - 20-FOOT.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS 5-10 MPH. A 60 PERCENT CHANCE EXISTS FOR INTERMITTENT SOUTHERLY GUSTS TO 20 MPH THROUGH THE NIGHT. .SUNDAY... LAL.................1 UNTIL NOON...THEN 6. HAINES INDEX........6 ..HIGH. CLEARING INDEX......1000+. SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT CLOUD COVER). A SLIGHT OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....95-97. MIN HUMIDITY........13-15 PERCENT. WINDS - 20-FOOT.....DOWNSLOPE 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST MID MORNING 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS POSSIBLE WITH ANY PASSING THUNDERSTORM IN THE AFTERNOON. .OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY... LAL.................2. HAINES INDEX........5 ..MODERATE. CLEARING INDEX......1000+. SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT CLOUD COVER). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-92. MIN HUMIDITY........17-19 PERCENT. WINDS - 20-FOOT.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST INCREASING TO 10-25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS POSSIBLE WITH ANY PASSING THUNDERSTORM IN THE AFTERNOON. FORECASTER...MERRILL REQUESTED BY...PETERSON REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120623.WOODH.01/SLC $$