FNAK79 PAFG 241325
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR ALLAKAKET...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
525 AM AKDT SUN JUN 24 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0129 AKDT ON JUNE 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UNSTABLE AIR MASS AND A SURFACE THERMAL TROUGH WILL BE OVER
THE FIRE AREA TODAY. AN UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. THE THERMAL TROUGH WILL SHIFT SLIGHTLY
NORTHWARD MONDAY. COOLER AND MORE STABLE AIR WITH HIGHER HUMIDITY
WILL MOVE NORTHWARD INTO THE AREA MONDAY. LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE
PROVIDED BY THE THERMAL TROUGH AND UPPER LEVEL LIFT FROM THE NORTHWARD
MOVING DISTURBANCE WILL TRIGGER ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE UNSTABLE
AIR MASS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS IN THE MORNING. CLOUDY (100 PERCENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS IN THE MORNING. SOUTH WINDS
                    10 TO 15 MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS TO 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 IN THE MORNING...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON..
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 20
                    MPH IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 IN THE EVENING...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL BY MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
 LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. HIGHS NEAR 70. WEST WINDS 50
 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
 TO MID 50S. HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
 TO MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.


$$
FORECASTER...FISCHER
REQUESTED BY...JASON LLEWELLYN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120624.ALLAK.01/AFG