FNUS75 KGJT 242153
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE SAND FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
353 PM MDT SUN JUN 24 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1506 MDT ON JUNE 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR THE
POTENTIAL FOR DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS AND DRY FUELS...

.DISCUSSION...THE FIRE SITE REMAINS SANDWICHED BETWEEN HIGH
PRESSURE ON THE HIGH PLAINS AND A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE
OREGON COAST. THE RESULTANT SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS PULLING
MOISTURE UP FROM THE SOUTH. THE DEEPEST PORTION OF THIS MOISTURE
SHIFTS INTO SOUTHEASTERN UTAH DURING THESE PERIODS. THEREFORE THE
FORECAST DOES NOT MENTION THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE BURN SITE. HOWEVER
GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WILL BE ROLLING AROUND THE REGION LATE EACH
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. REMAIN AWARE OF THIS POTENTIAL EVENT.
OTHERWISE HOT AND DRY CONTINUES WITH OCCASIONAL MIXING GUSTS
MAINLY FROM THE SOUTHWEST. SMOKE WILL SETTLE BACK DOWN THE RIVER
VALLEY OVERNIGHT IN DOWNVALLEY FLOW.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 2-5 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTH
                    5-12 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900 INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    BY NOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900 INCREASING TO
                    13000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 11 MPH.

.MONDAY NIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........35-40%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......AFTER 0900...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING
                    TO 5-10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900 INCREASING TO VERY
                    GOOD (135000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...INCREASING TO
                    11000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...ED LIESER FBAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120624.LITTL.01/GJT