FNUS75 KGJT 242030
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR STATELINE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
230 PM MDT SUN JUN 24 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1401 MDT ON JUNE 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR DRY
LIGHTNING...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST OF THE BURN SITE WILL KEEP
WINDS GENERALLY FROM THE SOUTH ALLOWING SOME MOISTURE TO MOVE
NORTHWARD OVER THE BURN SITE. THIS MOISTURE WILL BE JUST ENOUGH
TO ALLOW SOME CONVECTION TO FORM THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH
A CHANCE FOR SOME DRY LIGHTNING TO OCCUR. THE BURN SITE IS
CURRENTLY IN A RED FLAG WARNING BECAUSE OF THE CHANCE OF DRY
LIGHTNING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MAIN CONCERN WITH ANY
STORMS THAT FORM WILL BE SHORT-LIVED...VARIABLE...GUSTY OUTFLOW
WINDS. NOT MUCH CHANGE TOMORROW WITH WINDS CONTINUING FROM THE
SOUTH THOUGH THE CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS SHIFTS NORTHWARD.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY WITH
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....94-99 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.  GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.  WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE
                    WITH THE OUTFLOW WINDS FROM PASSING SHOWERS
                    OR STORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 15700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SWITCHING TO EAST
                    AT 5 MPH AFTER 10PM THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.  WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE
                    WITH THE OUTFLOW WINDS FROM PASSING SHOWERS
                    OR STORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 13 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....94-99 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5
                    TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT AFTER 1 PM.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...GOOSE GUSTAFSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120624.STATE.01/GJT