FNUS72 KMHX 250954 AAA FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR DAD FIRE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 554 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1450 EDT ON JUNE 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE FIRE AREA TODAY AND PUSH THROUGH SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING... WITH A STRONG NORTHERLY SURGE LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING BEHIND THE FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY BRINGING COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FIRE AREA. HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS RETURN LATE IN THE WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87. MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH...INCREASING TO 17 TO 21 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............73 72 72 72 72 73 73 74 74 74 74 74 WEATHER COV.........ISO ISO SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH TEMP................73 73 74 75 76 78 80 82 83 84 84 84 RH..................92 92 90 87 84 79 74 69 67 65 63 64 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW W SW SW SW SW S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......0 1 2 4 5 5 7 8 9 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 10 10 15 15 20 20 20 20 LVORI...............6 6 6 6 5 4 3 3 3 3 1 1 ADI.................3 3 3 5 5 18 22 27 33 40 47 53 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 28 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............73 73 73 73 73 73 72 72 72 71 71 70 WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH TEMP................82 80 78 75 73 72 71 71 71 70 70 70 RH..................67 73 80 86 89 93 93 90 86 87 84 83 20 FT WIND DIR......S SW SW SW SW SW W W NW NW N N 20 FT WIND SPD......10 10 9 8 7 6 5 5 5 6 7 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 20 15 15 15 10 10 10 15 15 20 LVORI...............1 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 ADI.................58 61 61 56 50 31 24 23 22 21 20 24 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH... ESPECIALLY THROUGH THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 20 TO 24 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............70 69 69 64 54 44 34 24 19 19 18 17 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................71 73 74 73 75 78 79 79 80 80 79 78 RH..................79 73 68 67 60 52 49 47 44 42 44 45 20 FT WIND DIR......N N N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD......10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 8 7 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 20 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 LVORI...............3 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................28 27 26 27 27 58 62 66 95 91 85 77 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...KENNEDY REQUESTED BY...CROATAN OPERATIONS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120624.DADFI.01/MHX