FNUS75 KPUB 241921 FWSPUB SPOT FORECAST FOR WALDO CANYON...PUEBLO DISPATCH/EL PASO COUNTY EM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 121 PM MDT SUN JUN 24 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT MONDAY... 1 PM UPDATE... WIND DISCUSSION: A SURFACE BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO EXIST AT THE LOWER ELEVATIONS EAST OF THE RAMPART RANGE. THIS BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM THE USAFA EASTWARD INTO EAST CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY. NORTH OF THIS BOUNDARY THE WINDS ARE GENERALLY FROM THE NORTHEAST DIRECTION A 5 TO 15 MPH. SOUTH OF THIS BOUNDARY WINDS ARE FROM A MORE SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION AT 5 TO 15 MPH. A 25 MPH WIND GUSTS FROM THE NORTHEAST WAS RECORDED ON TOP OF THE RAMPART RANGE BY A USAFA MESONET SENSOR (SENSOR AFA09). AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS...WINDS WERE GENERALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE. WOODLAND PARK HAD LIGHT NORTH WINDS WHILE THE MANCHESTER RAWS NORTH OF WOODLAND PARK WAS SOUTH AT 6 MPH. WINDS ON THE NORTH FACING SLOPE OF PIKES PEAK WERE UPSLOPE AT 4 TO 8 MPH. SIMULATIONS SHOW THAT THE WINDS TYPICALLY 1/2 MILE ABOVE THE SURFACE WERE FROM A SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION AT 5 TO 10 MPH. WINDS WILL LIKELY NOT CHANGE ALL THAT MUCH DURING THE REST OF THE MID AFTERNOON. OVERALL...WINDS SHOULD GENERALLY BE EAST TO EAST-NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 15 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 20 TO 25 MPH. SATELLITE DATA HAS SHOWN INCREASING CLOUDINESS OVER THE FIRE AREA AND SOME WEAK VIRGA ECHOES HAVE BEEN NOTED ON RADAR ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL TELLER COUNTY. IF CONVECTION DEVELOP AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP...WINDS WILL BECOME VERY ERRATIC AND WINDS COULD GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH. IF SKIES BECOME OVERCAST LATER THIS AFTERNOON WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION...THEN THIS MAY ALLOW WINDS TO DECREASE SOMEWHAT. FOR TONIGHT...HI RESOLUTION MODEL DATA SHOW A WEAK WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND DEVELOPING OVER THE GREATER PIKES REGION AFTER 2000 LOCAL...WITH WINDS GENERALLY BECOMING DOWNSLOPE AFTER 2300 LOCAL. PLEASE FEEL FREE TO CALL THE WEATHER OFFICE IF YOU WANT MORE INFORMATION. FOR FOLKS READING THIS OUTSIDE THE COLORADO REGION...USAFA IS THE UNITED STATES AIR FORCE ACADEMY MESONET NETWORK. HODANISH .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(35 PERCENT). ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-94F. MIN HUMIDITY........8-13 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........SEE DISCUSSION SECTION ABOVE. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 17000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 6. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(57 PERCENT) UNTIL 2200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66F. MAX HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........SEE DISCUSSION SECTION ABOVE. MIXING HEIGHT.......12500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2200. TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 2200...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. LAL.................3 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(34 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92F. MIN HUMIDITY........7-12 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH 10-14 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 14000 FT AGL AFTER 1100. TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 1400...THEN AROUND 17 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1400. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. LAL.................1. $$ FORECASTER...HODANISH REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH EL PASO COUNTY EM TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120624.WALDO.13/PUB