FNUS75 KPUB 242120
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR WALDO CANYON...PUEBLO DISPATCH/EL PASO COUNTY EM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
320 PM MDT SUN JUN 24 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT MONDAY...

    3 PM UPDATE...

RADAR AT 3 PM WAS INDICATING DRY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING
OVER THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...FREMONT COUNTY AND INTO PARK
COUNTY. SOME BUILDUPS HAVE ALSO BEEN NOTED IN WESTERN TELLER COUNTY.
SIMULATIONS DO SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR DRY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING OVER THE FIRE SITE THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
THIS EVENING.

WINDS WERE LIGHT SURROUNDING THE FIRE AREA. WINDS ON THE PLAINS FROM
THE RAMPART RANGE EASTWARD WERE NEARLY ALL LESS THAN 10 MPH. A LARGE
MAJORITY OF THESE WINDS WERE GENERALLY FROM THE EAST OR SOUTHEAST AT
5 TO 10 MPH.

OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN...WINDS WERE ALSO QUITE LIGHT AND GENERALLY
FROM THE SOUTHEAST. WINDS WERE LESS THAN 10 MPH.

THERE ARE TWO POTENTIAL SCENARIOS THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON. IF NO
DRY THUNDERSTORMS FORM NEAR OR OVER THE FIRE SITE...THEN WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE FROM THE SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
AFTER 2000 LOCAL...WINDS WILL DECREASE AND LIKELY BECOME DOWNSLOPE
A 4 TO 8 MPH.

IF DRY THUNDERSTORMS DO DEVELOP IN AND NEAR THE FIRE SITE...WINDS
WOULD BECOME QUITE ERRATIC WITH LOCALLY STRONG GUSTS POSSIBLE. AFTER
THE STORMS GO BY WINDS WOULD LIKELY BECOME LIGHT WITH A LIGHT
WESTERLY COMPONENT (4 TO 8 MPH). DOWNSLOPE WINDS WOULD DEVELOP AFTER
2000 LOCAL.

PLEASE FEEL FREE TO CALL THE WEATHER OFFICE IF YOU WANT MORE
INFORMATION.

HODANISH

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(57 PERCENT) UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY(40 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66F.
MAX HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SEE DISCUSSION SECTION ABOVE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2200.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN GOOD UNTIL
                    2200...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(34 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92F.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH 10-15 MPH.
                    WIND GUSTS TO 25 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THE EAST SLOPES
                    OF THE RAMPART RANGE DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 14000 FT AGL AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 1400...THEN AROUND 17
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1400.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.


$$

FORECASTER...HODANISH
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH EL PASO COUNTY EM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120624.WALDO.15/PUB