FNUS75 KPUB 242305
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR WALDO CANYON...PUEBLO DISPATCH/EL PASO COUNTY EM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
505 PM MDT SUN JUN 24 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

5 PM UPDATE

MAIN CONCERNS CURRENTLY ARE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL AND AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY MOVING NORTH INTO THE RAMPART RANGE.

THUNDERSTORMS...CURRENT RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS A CELL STRENGTHENING
DUE WEST OF WOODLAND PARK...AND NORTH OF DIVIDE.  THERE HAS NOT
BEEN ANY LIGHTNING BUT THE THREAT OF A STRIKE OR TWO IS POSSIBLE.
OUTFLOW WINDS WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED AS WELL AS CELLS COLLAPSE
AND COULD GUST ERRATICALLY TO NEAR 25 MPH.  CELLS WILL LIKELY
PERCOLATE OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

THERE IS ALSO AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MOVING NORTH FROM STORMS LOCATED
OVER THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY.  IT IS CURRENTLY JUST NORTH OF HIGHWAY
50 AND PUSHING NORTH.  IT IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE BURN SITE AROUND
530 PM WITH A SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY WIND THAT COULD GUST TO 25 MPH.
WIND STRENGTH WILL DEPEND ON IF THIS BOUNDARY CAN SUSTAIN ITSELF
WHILE TRAVELING.

CURRENTLY AROUND THE FIRE SITE...WINDS CONTINUE TO BE ERRATIC OVER
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS EAST OF COLORADO SPRINGS HAVE BEEN NORTHWEST
WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 15 MPH.    HUMIDITY VALUES ARE LOW IN THE 10%
AREA.  MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUD COVER WILL BECOME OVERCAST FROM
ANVIL BLOW OFF FROM THE SOUTH MOVES OVER THE BURN SITE.

FEEL FREE TO CALL THE WEATHER OFFICE IF YOU NEED MORE INFO.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY(40 PERCENT). ISOLATED DRY
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66F.
MAX HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SEE TEXT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR UNTIL 2300...THEN
                    FAIR UNTIL 2400...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................6 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92F.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 4 TO 8 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SOUTH 10-15 MPH.
                    WIND GUSTS TO 25 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THE EAST SLOPES
                    OF THE RAMPART RANGE DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 14000 FT AGL AFTER 1000.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL
                    1700...THEN VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...MOZLEY
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH EL PASO COUNTY EM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120624.WALDO.17/PUB