FNUS75 KGJT 260258 FWSGJT SPOT FORECAST FOR POISON CREEK...GJ AIR CENTER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 858 PM MDT MON JUN 25 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2029 MDT ON JUNE 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT TUESDAY FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS... .DISCUSSION... MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS SLOWLY INCREASING ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO UNDER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AROUND A STRONG PLAINS UPPER RIDGE. THIS RIDGE WILL BE BREAKING DOWN SOME ON TUESDAY AS A PACIFIC STORM DRIVES INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. THIS IS EXPECTED TO LEAD TO A MORE ACTIVE DAY WITH CONVECTION FORMING OVER MUCH OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN BY THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS. WHILE THE ADDED MOISTURE ALOFT WILL INCREASE THE THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE...THE DRY LOW LAYERS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO PREVENT MUCH RAINFALL FROM REACHING THE GROUND. THEREFORE RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT FROM ANY STORMS THAT FORM AND MAY REACH OVER 40 MPH. OTHERWISE THE GENERAL RIDGETOP WINDS SHOULD BE SOUTHWEST WITH A FEW GUSTS OVER 25 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE MID AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING HOURS. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 87 F. MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AR0IND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH MID MORNING INCREASING TO EXCELLENT BY EARLY AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. LAL.................6. $$ FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS REQUESTED BY...IC TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120625.POISO.01/GJT