FNUS73 KJKL 260906
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCOTT...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
506 AM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2054 EDT ON JUNE 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST AND DEBBY OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE WILL
PROVIDE BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS OVER THE FIRE AREA TODAY WITH GUSTS UP
TO 20 MPH. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH NEAR CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY AND
THE DEVELOPING DROUGHT TO CREATE AN INCREASED RISK FOR WILDFIRE
SPREAD TODAY. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY BUT
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO WARM AS A PROLONGED HEAT WAVE BEGINS
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....81.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........0      0      0      1      2      4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............61     71     78     81     82     81
RH..............59     43     34     29     24     26
20 FT WIND......NE 6   NE 8   NE 11  NE 12  NE 11  NE 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     20     20     15
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY...BECOMING EAST LESS
                    THAN 5 MPH BY MIDNIGHT.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........5      5      5      5      4      3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............76     67     60     56     54     51
RH..............33     49     66     81     89     99
20 FT WIND......NE 6   NE 3   NE 2   E 1    E 0    E 0
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      5      5      5

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    EARLY AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....33.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........2      2      2      2      4      5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............59     74     85     89     89     89
RH..............73     44     31     27     25     26
20 FT WIND......E 0    E 3    E 5    E 5    E 3    E 3
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      10     10     5      5
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...EDWARDS
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120625.SCOTT.01/JKL