FNUS75 KPUB 250821
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR WALDO CANYON...TELLER COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
221 AM MDT MON JUN 25 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

THE OVERALL WIND FLOW IN THE AREA HAS BECOME NORTHWESTERLY GENERALLY AT
12-17 MPH.  HIGH RESOLUTION FORECAST MODELS ARE EXPECTING THE WINDS TO
BECOME WESTERLY AT 5-10 MPH BETWEEN 0600 TO 0700.  BY ABOUT 1000-1200 THE
OVERALL WIND FLOW IS EXPECTED TO BECOME SOUTHERLY 10-15 MPH...INCREASING BY
1300 TO 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

THE FORECAST MODELS ARE NOT SHOWING ANY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA TODAY OR
THIS EVENING.  HOWEVER IF ONE WERE TO DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN...THE
MAIN THREATS WOULD BE ERRATIC GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS OF 40-45 MPH...AND DRY
LIGHTNING.



.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65F.
MAX HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 12-17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92F.
MIN HUMIDITY........6-11 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 5-10 MPH UNTIL AROUND 1000...THEN BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH BY 1200-1300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 13900 FT AGL BY 1200.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND AROUND 15 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTH AROUND 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT BY 1300.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...EVENSON
REQUESTED BY...STAN BISHOP
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120625.WALDO.01/PUB