FNUS75 KPUB 251145
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR WALDO CANYON...PUEBLO DISPATCH/EL PASO COUNTY EM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
545 AM MDT MON JUN 25 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

THE OVERALL WIND FLOW CURRENTLY IS WEST TO NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BUT
BEFORE NOON THE WINDS FLOW IS EXPECTED TO BECOME SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AND
THEN BECOME GUSTY IN THE AFTERNOON.

THE FORECAST MODELS ARE NOT SHOWING ANY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA TODAY OR
THIS EVENING.  HOWEVER IF ONE WERE TO DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN...THE
MAIN THREATS WOULD BE ERRATIC GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS OF 40-45 MPH...AND DRY
LIGHTNING.

ON TUESDAY THERE WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA
IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.  IF THIS OCCURS...THERE WOULD BE VERY
LITTLE RAIN...AND STRONG OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 40-45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
AS WELL AS DRY LIGHTNING.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92F.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST TO NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL BETWEEN 1000 AND 1200...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 14800 FT AGL AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1100 THEN SOUTH AROUND 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT BY 1400.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65F.
MAX HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 13 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    SOUTHERLY AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH UNTIL 2000...
                    THEN SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2200.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    2200...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY SUNNY(55
                    PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS AROUND 10-15 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS 20-25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 16000 FT AGL AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 14 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTH
                    AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT BY 1400.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.

$$
FORECASTER...EVENSON
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH EL PASO COUNTY EM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120625.WALDO.03/PUB