FNUS73 KUNR 252147
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR CROW PEAK...SD-BKF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
347 PM MDT MON JUN 25 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1523 MDT ON JUNE 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
TUESDAY NIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE VARIABLE WIND GUSTS THROUGH
THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND THE EVENING. VARIABLE WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH
ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS. TUESDAY WILL BE HOT...DRY AND
BREEZY WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 90.
RH..................MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
                    NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
                    PREVAILING WINDS WILL BE SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH...
                    ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA WILL LEAD TO VARIABLE
                    WINDS.
                    POSSIBLE NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 TO 6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 70.
RH..................MAX 59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS
                    THIS EVENING. PREVAILING WINDS WILL BE SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
                    10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO 100 TO 600 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 96.
RH..................MIN 15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 18
                    TO 23 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................7 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12900 TO 13900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 25
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...GR
REQUESTED BY...LOOKOUT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120625.CROWP.01/UNR