FNUS75 KBOU 270036 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR FLAGSTAFF FIRE...OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 636 PM MDT TUE JUN 26 2012 UPDATED... IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR WIDELY SCATTERED MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND EXTREMELY DRY FUELS... .DISCUSSION...THE WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHTNING IN THE AREA ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BETWEEN 730 AND 8 PM. THERE IS JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A STORM LINGERING AFTER 8 PM. UNTIL THE STORMS END...STRONG AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THESE STORMS...ALONG WITH CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING BUT ONLY LIGHT IF ANY RAINFALL. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WARM WITH POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERY OVERNIGHT. AFTER WINDS DECREASE LATE THIS EVENING...THERE IS A STILL A CHANCE THAT GUSTY WINDS OF 20-25 MPH WILL OCCUR ON RIDGELINES AND DOWN EAST FACING SLOPES OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. A WEAK COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BACK INTO THE AREA BY 8-9 AM WEDNESDAY WITH EAST/SOUTHEAST UPSLOPE WINDS DEVELOPING. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE SOMEWHAT WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES COOLER ALTHOUGH STILL SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. HUMIDITIES WILL BE SOMEWHAT HIGHER. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 0300...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...MOSTLY DRY UNTIL 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....65...ALTHOUGH UPPER 50S POSSIBLE ON LOWER WEST FACING SLOPES WEST OF BEAR PEAK AND THE FLATIRONS. MAX HUMIDITY........34-36%...EXCEPT 40-42% POSSIBLE IN COOLER AREAS. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20-25 MPH ON RIDGES AND EAST FACING SLOPES... AND 30-40 MPH GUSTS NEAR STORMS. A FEW WEST FACING SLOPES COULD TURN DOWNSLOPE 3-7 MPH AFTER 2200-0000. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......15800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...DECREASING TO BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2200...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1500...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....82. MIN HUMIDITY........23%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7-11 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN EAST 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 11600-12600 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0600. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR FLAGSTAFF FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/26-18 69 23 5 87 10 SW12 22 5 6 SW18 15809 SW17 243978 E 06/26-19 69 23 5 85 12 SW12 20 5 6 SW20 11629 SW17 176861 E 06/26-20 69 23 5 82 15 SW12 18 5 6 S22 7449 SW16 109744 V 06/26-21 55 10 2 77 19 SW12 18 5 1 S24 3269 SW15 42627 F 06/26-22 55 10 2 75 22 SW10 17 5 1 S23 2274 W13 29213 P 06/26-23 55 10 2 73 25 W 9 15 5 1 SW22 1280 W12 15800 P 06/27-00 55 3 1 71 27 W 8 13 5 1 SW22 285 W 9 2386 P 06/27-01 55 3 1 70 30 W 7 13 5 1 SW22 248 W 9 2013 P 06/27-02 55 3 1 68 32 W 6 12 5 1 S24 211 W 9 1639 P 06/27-03 32 3 1 67 34 W 6 12 5 1 S24 174 W 8 1266 P 06/27-04 32 3 1 66 34 W 8 16 5 1 S22 176 W 9 1427 P 06/27-05 32 3 1 66 33 W12 18 5 1 SW20 178 W10 1588 P 06/27-06 49 0 0 66 32 W12 20 5 1 SW18 180 W12 1750 P 06/27-07 49 0 0 68 31 NW 9 15 5 1 SW21 1603 SW 9 7492 P 06/27-08 49 0 0 70 30 NE 7 7 5 1 SW25 3026 SE 7 13234 P 06/27-09 49 9 2 73 27 E 6 6 5 1 SW29 4449 E 5 18977 P 06/27-10 49 9 2 76 25 E 6 6 5 1 SW30 6748 SE 7 52977 F 06/27-11 49 9 2 78 24 E 6 6 4 1 SW31 9048 S10 86977 G 06/27-12 71 20 4 79 23 SE 7 12 4 3 SW31 11347 SW13 120977 V 06/27-13 71 20 4 80 24 SE 8 13 4 3 SW30 11822 SW13 135195 V 06/27-14 71 20 4 81 24 SE 9 15 4 3 SW28 12298 SW14 149414 V 06/27-15 71 36 14 81 24 SE10 16 4 4 SW26 12773 SW15 163633 E 06/27-16 71 36 14 81 24 SE 9 16 4 4 SW28 12575 SW15 162316 E 06/27-17 71 36 14 81 25 E 9 14 4 4 SW28 12378 SW15 160999 E 06/27-18 65 26 6 79 26 E 8 13 4 4 SW38 12325 SW23 244844 E 06/27-19 65 26 6 77 27 E 9 15 4 4 SW38 8775 SW20 170156 E 06/27-20 65 26 6 73 30 S10 17 4 4 SW37 5225 SW17 95467 G 06/27-21 65 10 2 69 34 SW12 18 4 2 SW36 1675 SW14 20779 P 06/27-22 65 10 2 67 38 SW12 18 4 2 SW36 1193 SW13 14437 P 06/27-23 65 10 2 65 42 S10 16 5 2 SW35 711 SW10 8095 P 06/28-00 42 9 2 63 46 S 9 15 5 1 SW33 228 SW 9 1753 P 06/28-01 42 9 2 61 49 S 8 14 5 1 SW32 209 SW 8 1565 P 06/28-02 42 9 2 60 52 SW 8 8 5 1 SW31 189 W 8 1377 P 06/28-03 42 6 1 59 54 SW 7 7 5 1 SW30 170 W 8 1189 P 06/28-04 42 6 1 58 56 SW 7 7 5 1 SW30 162 W 8 1095 P 06/28-05 42 6 1 58 55 W 6 6 4 1 SW29 154 W 7 1000 P 06/28-06 37 7 1 58 53 W 6 6 4 1 SW29 146 W 7 905 P 06/28-07 37 7 1 60 48 W 6 6 4 1 SW25 1161 W 8 9971 P 06/28-08 37 7 1 65 39 SW 6 6 4 1 SW22 2176 W 9 19036 P 06/28-09 37 10 2 70 32 SW 6 6 4 2 SW21 3191 W10 28101 P 06/28-10 37 10 2 74 27 SW 5 5 4 2 W22 6335 W13 83753 G 06/28-11 37 10 2 77 23 SW 5 5 4 2 W25 9479 W15 139405 V 06/28-12 53 15 3 79 21 SW 3 3 4 3 W28 12623 W17 195058 E 06/28-13 53 15 3 81 19 SW 2 2 4 3 W28 13152 W17 199186 E 06/28-14 53 15 3 82 19 W 2 2 5 3 W28 13680 SW17 203315 E 06/28-15 53 15 3 82 18 W 2 2 5 3 W26 14208 SW17 207444 E 06/28-16 53 15 3 82 18 W 2 2 5 3 W26 13863 SW16 198160 E 06/28-17 53 15 3 82 18 W 2 2 5 3 W25 13518 W16 188877 E 06/28-18 46 16 3 80 19 W 3 3 5 3 W25 13173 W16 179594 E 06/28-19 46 16 3 78 21 W 5 5 5 3 W26 9029 W13 121026 V 06/28-20 46 16 3 74 25 W 5 5 5 3 W26 4885 W 9 62458 G 06/28-21 46 16 3 69 30 W 6 6 5 3 W26 741 W 6 3891 P 06/28-22 46 16 3 66 33 W 6 6 5 3 W25 547 W 7 2954 P 06/28-23 46 16 3 64 36 W 7 7 5 3 W22 353 W 7 2017 P 06/29-00 31 7 1 62 39 W 7 7 5 1 W20 159 W 8 1080 P 06/29-01 31 7 1 61 41 W 7 7 5 1 W18 152 W 8 1074 P 06/29-02 31 7 1 59 43 W 8 13 5 1 W17 144 W 8 1067 P 06/29-03 31 7 1 57 45 W 8 13 5 1 W16 136 W 9 1060 P 06/29-04 31 7 1 56 46 W 8 14 5 1 W15 135 W 9 1039 P 06/29-05 31 7 1 56 45 W 8 14 5 1 W13 134 W 9 1017 P 06/29-06 30 6 1 56 43 W 8 13 5 1 W12 133 W 8 995 P 06/29-07 30 6 1 59 38 W 7 7 5 1 W12 1019 W 8 6088 P 06/29-08 30 6 1 64 30 NW 6 6 4 1 W14 1905 NW 7 11180 P 06/29-09 30 6 1 69 24 N 5 5 4 1 W16 2791 NW 7 16273 P 06/29-10 30 6 1 73 20 N 3 3 4 1 W21 5880 NW 9 56547 F 06/29-11 30 6 1 76 17 NE 2 2 4 1 W25 8969 W12 96822 G 06/29-12 45 10 2 78 16 CALM 1 4 2 W29 12059 W13 137097 V 06/29-13 45 10 2 80 16 CALM 1 4 2 W29 12837 W13 142351 V 06/29-14 45 10 2 81 16 CALM 1 5 2 W26 13616 W13 147606 V 06/29-15 45 10 2 81 17 CALM 1 5 2 W24 14395 W13 152861 E 06/29-16 45 10 2 82 17 CALM 1 5 2 W24 13819 W12 144685 V 06/29-17 45 10 2 81 18 CALM 1 5 2 W24 13243 W12 136509 V 06/29-18 42 15 3 80 19 CALM 1 5 3 W24 12668 W12 128334 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JAY WILLETTE REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120626.FLAGS.01/BOU