FNUS75 KBOU 261418 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SPRINGER FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 818 AM MDT TUE JUN 26 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0745 MDT ON JUNE 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION...TODAY WILL AGAIN BE UNSEASONABLY HOT AND DRY ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS WILL HAVE MORE OF A SOUTHWESTERLY COMPONENT TODAY IN THE FIRE AREA BEHIND A WEAK UPPER AIR DISTURBANCE THAT PASSED OVER NORTHEAST COLORADO LATE LAST EVENING. HOWEVER YOU SHOULD NOTICE AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER THIS AFTERNOON AS RELATIVELY MOIST AIR AT MID-LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE FLOWS IN FROM THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITIES TODAY...AND A SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCE FOR LATE DAY THUNDERSTORMS. STORMS WILL BECOME WIDELY SCATTERED AFTER 1400 HOURS...WITH MOST OF THEM BEING DRY. LIGHTNING STRONG AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS TO AROUND 40 MPH WILL LIKELY BE THE GREATEST FIREWEATHER CONCERN UNTIL MID-EVENING. THIS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD DIMINISH BY MID EVENING...AS WIND SPEEDS GRADUALLY DECREASE AND HUMIDITIES SLOWLY RISE...ALTHOUGH EXPECT ANOTHER VERY WARM AND DRY NIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-45%) UNTIL 1330...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY(60-70%). WIDELY SCATTERED MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400. MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87. MIN HUMIDITY........7-13%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH... BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10-17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 33 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1100 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 14500-15500 FT AGL AFTER 1200. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15-20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0930...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. CWR.................15 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(60-70%) UNTIL 2100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 2300..THEN CLEAR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...MOSTLY DRY UNTIL 2030. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MAX HUMIDITY........POOR RECOVERY WITH 33-38%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-9 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......11900 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN LIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. CWR.................5 PERCENT. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 1300...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(60-70%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1330. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 6-12 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTHWEST 8-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 11900-12900 FT AGL AFTER 1200. MIXING WINDS........WEST 10-15 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...BECOMING EXCELLENT AFTER 1300. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. CWR.................5 PERCENT. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SPRINGER FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/26-00 13 0 64 16 W 6 6 6 1 SW15 239 SW 7 1554 P 06/26-01 13 0 61 19 W 6 6 6 1 SW14 206 SW 8 1346 P 06/26-02 0 0 58 22 W 2 7 5 1 SW13 174 W 8 1138 P 06/26-03 5 0 56 25 W 3 3 4 1 SW17 161 W 5 664 P 06/26-04 15 0 54 27 W 6 6 4 1 SW17 147 W 6 737 P 06/26-05 24 0 53 29 W 7 7 4 1 SW16 133 W 7 810 P 06/26-06 29 1 51 32 W 8 13 5 1 SW16 118 W 8 883 P 06/26-07 29 1 53 33 W 8 13 5 1 SW17 874 W 10 9041 P 06/26-08 29 1 60 27 W 7 7 5 1 S18 1629 W 12 17199 P 06/26-09 29 1 68 21 W 7 7 5 1 S20 2385 W 13 25357 P 06/26-10 29 1 74 16 SW 8 14 5 1 S20 6271 W 14 81689 G 06/26-11 29 1 79 13 SW 10 16 5 1 S20 10157 SW 15 138021 V 06/26-12 54 10 82 10 SW 13 20 5 2 S18 14043 SW 16 194353 E 06/26-13 54 10 84 9 SW 14 22 5 2 SW16 14734 SW 15 196005 E 06/26-14 54 10 86 8 SW 15 23 5 2 SW14 15425 SW 15 197657 E 06/26-15 60 17 86 7 SW 15 24 5 6 SW13 16116 SW 14 199309 E 06/26-16 60 17 87 7 SW 15 23 5 6 SW13 14720 SW 13 170993 E 06/26-17 60 17 87 8 W 14 22 5 6 S15 13323 SW 13 142678 V 06/26-18 60 16 80 11 W 12 20 4 6 S17 11927 SW 12 114362 V 06/26-19 60 16 76 13 W 10 16 4 6 S17 8539 SW 12 81897 G 06/26-20 60 16 72 16 W 8 8 4 6 S18 5152 W 12 49432 F 06/26-21 60 16 69 20 W 6 6 4 6 S20 1764 W 12 16967 P 06/26-22 44 3 66 24 W 5 5 4 1 S20 1256 W 9 11780 P 06/26-23 44 3 63 26 W 5 5 4 1 S21 749 W 8 6592 P 06/27-00 44 3 61 29 W 5 5 3 1 S22 241 W 7 1404 P 06/27-01 44 3 60 31 W 6 6 3 1 S22 225 W 7 1354 P 06/27-02 39 3 59 33 W 6 6 3 1 S21 209 W 7 1303 P 06/27-03 39 3 57 34 W 6 6 3 1 S21 193 W 7 1253 P 06/27-04 39 3 56 36 W 6 6 3 1 S21 195 W 7 1221 P 06/27-05 39 3 55 37 W 5 5 3 1 SW21 196 W 7 1188 P 06/27-06 37 8 55 37 W 5 5 3 1 SW22 198 W 7 1156 P 06/27-07 37 8 58 33 W 5 5 3 1 SW21 731 W 7 5054 P 06/27-08 37 8 64 26 SW 5 5 3 1 SW21 1263 W 8 8952 P 06/27-09 37 8 66 24 SW 6 6 3 1 SW20 1796 SW 8 12850 P 06/27-10 37 8 71 20 SW 7 7 5 1 SW22 5349 SW 15 81921 G 06/27-11 37 8 74 18 SW 8 14 5 1 SW22 8340 SW 17 137015 V 06/27-12 64 20 77 16 SW 9 15 5 3 SW22 11332 SW 20 192109 E 06/27-13 64 20 78 15 SW 8 8 5 3 SW23 11927 SW 20 202347 E 06/27-14 64 20 79 15 S 6 6 5 3 SW24 12523 SW 20 212585 E 06/27-15 64 21 80 15 S 5 5 5 3 SW25 13118 SW 20 222823 E 06/27-16 64 21 80 15 S 8 8 5 3 SW25 12944 SW 20 221701 E 06/27-17 64 21 80 15 W 12 18 5 3 SW26 12769 SW 20 220579 E 06/27-18 61 19 79 16 NW 14 22 4 3 SW28 12595 SW 20 219458 E 06/27-19 61 19 78 18 W 12 18 4 3 SW28 10717 SW 20 184716 E 06/27-20 61 19 76 21 W 8 13 4 3 SW29 8840 W 20 149974 V 06/27-21 61 10 72 26 W 5 5 4 2 SW30 6962 W 20 115233 V 06/27-22 61 10 68 31 W 3 3 4 2 SW30 4957 W 16 79317 G 06/27-23 61 10 65 36 W 2 2 4 2 SW31 2951 W 13 43402 F 06/28-00 41 7 62 43 SW 2 2 5 1 W31 946 W 9 7487 P 06/28-01 41 7 60 48 W 3 3 5 1 W32 747 W 8 5733 P 06/28-02 41 7 58 52 W 5 5 5 1 W32 548 W 8 3979 P 06/28-03 41 7 56 55 W 6 6 5 1 W32 349 W 7 2225 P 06/28-04 41 7 55 57 W 6 6 5 1 W33 325 W 7 1912 P 06/28-05 41 7 54 58 W 5 5 5 1 W35 301 W 6 1598 P 06/28-06 38 10 53 59 W 5 5 4 1 W35 276 W 6 1285 P 06/28-07 38 10 54 55 W 6 6 4 1 W32 1201 W 7 10485 P 06/28-08 38 10 60 44 W 6 6 4 1 W30 2125 W 9 19685 P 06/28-09 41 10 66 34 W 7 7 4 2 W26 3050 W 10 28885 P 06/28-10 41 10 71 27 W 7 7 4 2 W24 6062 W 13 70958 G 06/28-11 41 10 75 23 W 7 7 4 2 W21 9075 W 14 113031 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...BAKER...NWS BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JARROD SAYER TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120626.SPRIN.02/BOU