FNUS75 KBYZ 261155
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR ASH CREEK...NCA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
555 AM MDT TUE JUN 26 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0529 MDT ON JUNE 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT
MDT TONIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATED FORECAST FOR LATEST FORECAST INFORMATION. WINDS HAVE NOT
DIMINISHED MUCH IN THE FIRE VICINITY OVERNIGHT AND WILL INCREASE
BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES. WINDS ARE
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AT THIS TIME AND WILL BECOME WESTERLY
THIS AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
AROUND 102 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON WITH RH VALUES LIKELY IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FIRE AREA
AROUND 9 PM SHIFTING WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST. WINDS WILL REMAIN
STRONG FOR SEVERAL HOURS AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE AND RH VALUES WILL
BE SLOW TO RECOVER OVERNIGHT. WEDNESDAY WILL BE MUCH COOLER AND
DRY. HOWEVER WESTERLY WINDS WILL BE GUSTY IN THE AFTERNOON WITH RH
VALUES IN THE TEENS. CHAMBERS


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....98-104.
MIN HUMIDITY........6-12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 20 WITH GUSTS TO
                    30 MPH IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO WEST WIND
                    20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH IN
                    THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 30 TO 45 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
MAX HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40
                    MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH AROUND 9 PM. NORTHWEST
                    WINDS DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 30 TO 45 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 9 PM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 30 TO 45 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 9 PM.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH...GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 20 TO 35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 20 TO 35 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CHAMBERS
REQUESTED BY...ROLAND CLOWN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120626.ASHCR.01/BYZ