FNUS75 KGJT 261515
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAVER CREEK...CRAIG DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
915 AM MDT TUE JUN 26 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0841 MDT ON JUNE 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS...

.DISCUSSION...THE MOISTURE PLUME FROM MEXICO REACHES AS FAR NORTH
AS YOUR FIRE SITE TODAY. YOUR DEWPOINTS IN THE 40S THIS MORNING
WILL LIKELY ERODE INTO THE 30S BY THIS AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE HIGH-BASED PRODUCING MORE WIND AND DRY
LIGHTNING THAN RAIN. STORM MOTION TODAY WILL BE TO THE NORTHEAST
AT 25 MPH SO IT WILL BE DIFFICULT TO PRODUCE WETTING RAINS. STILL
OUTFLOW WINDS MAY BE AS STRONG AS 50 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. SCATTERED STORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING WITH A FEW
INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THE LATEST MODELS INDICATE THE
MOISTURE WILL DEEPEN OVER THE BURN SITE ON WEDNESDAY FOR A BETTER
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT LESS HOT
BOTH TODAY AND WEDNESDAY DUE TO THE INCREASED CLOUDS AND MOISTURE-
COOLED OUTFLOW WINDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 2-5 MPH INCREASING TO 8-12 MPH
                    BEFORE NOON WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR AFTERNOON
                    THUNDERSTORMS AS STRONG AS 50 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 6.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SOME OF
                    THEM DRY THIS EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-14 MPH DECREASING TO 5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................6 UNTIL 2100...THEN 2.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. WETTING RAINS POSSIBLE WITH
                    STORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 4-8 MPH INCREASING TO 8-14
                    MPH BY LATE MORNING. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................4.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120626.BEAVE.01/GJT