FNUS75 KRIW 271006
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR FONTENELLE FIRE...IA TDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
406 AM MDT WED JUN 27 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2340 MDT ON JUNE 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

WARM AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY BREEZES ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP A COUPLE HOURS AFTER SUNRISE...WITH BREEZY
SOUTHWEST WINDS DEVELOPING BY MIDDAY. HUMIDITY RECOVERY DURING THE
NIGHT WILL BE POOR...ESPECIALLY ON MID SLOPES AND RIDGES. WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY WEAKER FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. STRONG
WINDS AND RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY RETURN ON SUNDAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...MURRELL

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-11 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-8 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15
                    TO 20 MPH BETWEEN 11 AM AND 1 PM. GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO
                    20 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6400-7400 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (41300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (130300 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT RIDGE.  60 PERCENT VALLEY.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH BY 8 PM.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST SOUTHWEST 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    AROUND 10 MPH BY 9 PM.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900-7900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL
                    BY 10 PM.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST SOUTHWEST 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    AROUND 10 MPH BY 10 PM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (129800 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (25300 KNOT-FT) BY 10 PM.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-11 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-8 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 12
                    TO 18 MPH BETWEEN 11 AM AND 1 PM. GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6900-7900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (48000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (140300 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. WINDS GENERALLY
LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...MURRELL
REQUESTED BY...TIDC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120626.FONTE.02/RIW