FNUS75 KSLC 262313
FWSSLC

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHURCH CAMP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
513 PM MDT TUE JUN 26 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM THIS EVENING
FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS...STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...

.DISCUSSION...THERE IS A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY CROSSING NORTHERN
UTAH COUNTY. THIS FRONT IS NOT EXPECTED TO REACH THE FIRE
SITE...THOUGH THERE IS A 20 PERCENT CHANCE THAT IT DOES TONIGHT.
IF IT DOES...EXPECT A SHARP WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST.
AGAIN...THIS IS LIKELY NOT GOING TO BE THE CASE.

THE FORECAST CALLS FOR CONTINUED GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS
EVENING...DIMINISHING SLIGHTLY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. IT WILL
REMAIN RATHER DRY...BUT ENOUGH MONSOON MOISTURE WILL EXPAND
WESTWARD TO SUPPORT THE THREAT OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. ANY ACTIVITY WOULD CARRY THE
RISK OF LIGHTNING AND GUSTY/ERRATIC WINDS.

.TONIGHT...
  LAL.................1.
  HAINES INDEX........4 ..LOW.
  SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT CLOUD COVER).
  MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-57.
  MAX HUMIDITY........36-38 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH
                      THROUGH 2100...DECREASING TO 10 MPH WITH
                      GUSTS TO 20 MPH OVERNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...
  LAL.................1 UNTIL NOON...THEN 3.
  HAINES INDEX........5 ..MODERATE.
  CLEARING INDEX......1000+.
  SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT CLOUD COVER). A
                      SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                      NOON.
  MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-77.
  MIN HUMIDITY........13-15 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                      25 MPH THROUGH 2100...THE BECOMING WEST 5 TO 15
                      MPH THROUGH MIDNIGHT AND DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5
                      TO 9 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY/ERRATIC WINDS NEAR
                      ANY SHOWERS.

.OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...
  LAL.................1 UNTIL NOON...THEN 2.
  HAINES INDEX........6 ..HIGH.
  CLEARING INDEX......1000+.
  SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT CLOUD COVER) THEN
                      BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT CLOUD
                      COVER). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                      THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
  MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-78.
  MIN HUMIDITY........15-17 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....WEST 5 TO 15 MPH THROUGH 0900...THEN BECOMING
                      SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5
                      TO 9 MPH AFTER 2200. GUSTY/ERRATIC WINDS
                      NEAR ANY SHOWERS.



FORECASTER...ROGOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN ROBINSON
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120626.CHURC.01/SLC

$$