FNUS75 KBOU 272300 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMARGO FIRE...COUNTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 458 PM MDT WED JUN 27 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH... .DISCUSSION...THE SECOND BATCH OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH 6 PM MDT. THE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH ALONG WITH LIGHTNING. EXPECT ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH. A FEW STORMS WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHT BUT ONLY LIGHT RAINFALL. OTHERWISE WESTERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE EVENING. SKIES WILL CLEAR AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH WINDS REMAINING WESTERLY. ON THURSDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE AREA WITH WARM AND DRY EXPECTED. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE BUT LESS NUMEROUS THAN TODAY. GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH AND LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STORMS WITH ONLY LIGHT RAIN. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-60. MAX HUMIDITY........44-47%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. ERRATIC GUSTS TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR THE STORMS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200...SOME STORMS DRY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-88. MIN HUMIDITY........18-22%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 13800-14800 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-59. MAX HUMIDITY........40-45%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......14200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 0300. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-87. MIN HUMIDITY........14-48%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 13800-14800 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR CAMARGO FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/27-16 72 32 11 83 24 W12 18 3 4 SW35 12087 SW21 220870 E 06/27-17 72 32 11 82 24 SW 8 14 3 4 SW30 11087 SW20 187739 E 06/27-18 70 25 5 81 24 SW 6 6 3 3 SW25 10088 SW17 154607 E 06/27-19 70 25 5 79 26 SW 5 5 3 3 SW23 6835 W14 103580 V 06/27-20 70 25 5 75 29 NW 5 5 3 3 SW20 3581 W 9 52552 F 06/27-21 68 11 2 70 33 NW 6 6 3 1 SW16 328 W 6 1524 P 06/27-22 68 11 2 68 37 NW 8 13 3 1 SW13 276 W 8 1618 P 06/27-23 68 11 2 66 40 W10 17 3 1 SW10 224 W10 1713 P 06/28-00 48 6 1 64 42 SW13 21 3 1 SW 8 172 SW13 1807 P 06/28-01 48 6 1 62 44 SW14 21 3 1 SW 9 157 SW12 1640 P 06/28-02 48 6 1 61 45 W13 21 3 1 SW10 141 W12 1473 P 06/28-03 43 5 1 59 46 W13 21 3 1 S13 126 W12 1306 P 06/28-04 43 5 1 59 47 W13 20 3 1 SW13 126 W12 1271 P 06/28-05 43 5 1 58 46 W13 20 3 1 SW13 126 W12 1237 P 06/28-06 30 5 1 59 45 W12 18 3 1 SW13 127 W12 1203 P 06/28-07 30 5 1 61 42 W10 16 3 1 SW13 1349 W 9 8664 P 06/28-08 30 5 1 67 35 W 8 14 3 1 W14 2571 W 8 16126 P 06/28-09 50 5 1 72 29 W 7 7 3 1 W15 3794 W 7 23587 P 06/28-10 50 5 1 77 24 W 6 6 3 1 W17 7060 W 9 69958 G 06/28-11 50 5 1 81 21 W 6 6 3 1 W21 10326 W12 116329 V 06/28-12 59 24 5 83 20 SW 6 6 3 3 W24 13592 W14 162700 E 06/28-13 59 24 5 85 19 SW 6 6 3 3 W28 14033 W15 186361 E 06/28-14 61 25 5 86 18 S 7 7 3 3 W30 14474 W16 210023 E 06/28-15 61 25 5 86 18 S 7 7 3 3 W31 14915 W18 233685 E 06/28-16 61 25 5 87 18 S 8 8 3 3 W28 14682 SW17 224010 E 06/28-17 61 25 5 86 18 S 8 13 3 3 W23 14448 SW17 214334 E 06/28-18 46 10 2 84 19 SW 8 13 3 2 W20 14214 SW16 204659 E 06/28-19 46 10 2 82 20 SW 6 6 3 2 W20 9582 SW13 137027 V 06/28-20 46 10 2 77 24 W 5 5 3 2 W18 4950 W10 69396 G 06/28-21 46 10 2 72 28 W 5 5 3 2 W18 318 W 7 1764 P 06/28-22 46 10 2 68 32 W 7 7 3 2 W18 263 W 8 1671 P 06/28-23 46 10 2 66 35 W 9 15 3 2 W18 208 W 9 1579 P 06/29-00 30 4 1 64 37 W12 18 3 1 W20 153 W12 1486 P 06/29-01 30 4 1 62 40 W13 20 3 1 W20 138 W12 1419 P 06/29-02 30 4 1 60 42 W13 21 3 1 W21 124 W13 1352 P 06/29-03 30 4 1 58 44 W13 21 3 1 W20 110 W14 1285 P 06/29-04 30 4 1 57 45 W14 22 3 1 W17 109 W14 1282 P 06/29-05 30 4 1 57 44 W14 23 3 1 W15 109 W14 1279 P 06/29-06 29 4 1 57 43 W14 22 3 1 W13 109 W14 1277 P 06/29-07 29 4 1 60 38 W12 18 3 1 W10 698 W13 6491 P 06/29-08 29 4 1 66 30 W 8 13 3 1 W10 1287 W12 11706 P 06/29-09 29 4 1 71 24 W 5 5 3 1 W10 1876 W10 16920 P 06/29-10 29 4 1 76 20 SW 3 3 3 1 W14 5527 W10 55730 F 06/29-11 29 4 1 80 17 SE 2 2 3 1 W17 9178 W12 94540 G 06/29-12 46 10 2 83 15 E 2 2 3 2 W21 12829 W12 133350 V 06/29-13 46 10 2 84 15 E 3 3 3 2 W21 13587 W12 132094 V 06/29-14 46 10 2 85 14 E 6 6 4 2 W18 14346 W10 130838 V 06/29-15 46 10 2 86 14 E 7 7 4 2 W17 15104 W10 129582 V 06/29-16 46 10 2 86 14 SE 7 7 4 2 W17 14684 W10 135126 V 06/29-17 46 10 2 86 15 S 7 7 3 2 W17 14265 W12 140669 V 06/29-18 42 10 2 84 16 S 7 7 3 2 W17 13845 W13 146213 V 06/29-19 42 10 2 82 18 S 6 6 4 2 W17 9322 W10 98035 G 06/29-20 42 10 2 77 21 SW 6 6 4 2 W17 4799 W 9 49857 F 06/29-21 42 10 2 72 26 W 6 6 5 2 W16 276 W 7 1678 P 06/29-22 42 10 2 69 30 W 8 13 5 2 W17 236 W 9 1742 P 06/29-23 42 10 2 67 33 W10 16 5 2 W17 196 W12 1805 P 06/30-00 28 5 1 65 37 W13 21 5 1 W17 156 W14 1868 P 06/30-01 28 5 1 63 39 W14 22 5 1 W17 145 W14 1736 P 06/30-02 28 5 1 62 41 W14 23 4 1 W16 134 W14 1604 P 06/30-03 28 5 1 60 42 W14 22 4 1 W15 122 W14 1471 P 06/30-04 28 5 1 59 42 W12 20 4 1 W13 123 W12 1206 P 06/30-05 28 5 1 59 41 W 9 15 4 1 W12 124 W 9 940 P 06/30-06 23 5 1 59 39 W 7 7 4 1 W10 125 W 6 675 P 06/30-07 23 5 1 62 34 W 6 6 4 1 W10 725 W 6 2925 P 06/30-08 23 5 1 67 27 NW 5 5 4 1 W10 1325 NW 5 5174 P 06/30-09 23 5 1 72 22 NW 5 5 4 1 W10 1926 NW 5 7424 P 06/30-10 23 5 1 77 18 N 3 3 4 1 W10 5625 NW 5 29735 P 06/30-11 23 5 1 81 15 NE 3 3 4 1 W12 9325 W 6 52045 F 06/30-12 35 6 1 83 14 NE 2 2 4 1 W12 13025 W 7 74356 G 06/30-13 35 6 1 84 13 NE 2 2 4 1 W12 14028 W 6 72203 G 06/30-14 35 6 1 85 13 NE 2 2 5 1 W12 15031 W 6 70049 G 06/30-15 35 6 1 86 13 E 2 2 5 1 W10 16035 W 5 67896 G 06/30-16 35 6 1 86 13 E 2 2 5 1 W10 15585 SW 6 76291 G 06/30-17 35 6 1 85 14 E 2 2 4 1 SW 9 15134 SW 7 84686 G 06/30-18 43 6 1 84 15 E 2 2 3 1 SW 8 14684 SW 7 93081 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...LESZCYNSKI...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...SNART REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120627.CAMAR.01/BOU