FNUS75 KBOU 271753 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SPRINGER FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1142 AM MDT WED JUN 27 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP OVER THE FIRE BURN AFTER 1300. SOME STORMS MAY STILL BE DRY DUE TO LOW HUMIDITIES BUT STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE UP TO A QUARTER INCH OF RAIN. THE EARLIER DISCUSSION OF A FRONT PASSAGE WILL NOT HAPPEN AS OUTFLOW FROM STORMS WILL KEEP THE WINDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO WESTERLY DIRECTION. WITH OUTFLOW FROM THUNDERSTORMS...EXPECT VARIABLE DIRECTION OF WINDS WITH SPEEDS UP TO 50 MPH. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(60-70%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300 UNTIL 1500...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-88. MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS 10-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......12400-13400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....52. MAX HUMIDITY........58%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13-24 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......12200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 0300. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0900. MAX TEMPERATURE.....82. MIN HUMIDITY........17%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 13600-14600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SPRINGER FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/27-11 54 8 1 76 23 W17 28 2 1 SW36 9763 SW23 203115 E 06/27-12 54 8 1 78 21 W17 28 2 1 SW38 11947 SW25 257037 E 06/27-13 70 22 4 79 21 W17 28 2 3 SW37 12616 SW24 267845 E 06/27-14 70 22 4 80 21 W17 26 3 3 SW36 13285 SW24 278653 E 06/27-15 65 33 12 80 22 W16 25 3 4 SW35 13954 SW24 289460 E 06/27-16 65 33 12 81 21 W15 24 3 4 SW35 13360 SW24 283536 E 06/27-17 65 33 12 80 20 W14 22 3 4 SW36 12765 SW25 277612 E 06/27-18 66 24 5 79 20 W13 21 3 3 SW35 12171 SW25 271689 E 06/27-19 66 24 5 76 21 W13 20 3 3 SW31 9203 SW23 196789 E 06/27-20 66 24 5 72 25 W12 20 3 3 SW26 6234 W20 121890 V 06/27-21 64 12 2 67 30 NW12 18 3 1 SW24 3266 W16 46990 F 06/27-22 64 12 2 64 35 W10 16 3 1 SW24 2258 W14 31885 P 06/27-23 64 12 2 62 39 SW 8 13 3 1 SW25 1250 SW10 16780 P 06/28-00 50 7 1 60 45 S 7 7 3 1 SW26 242 SW 8 1674 P 06/28-01 50 7 1 58 50 SW 7 7 3 1 SW24 213 SW 8 1549 P 06/28-02 50 7 1 57 54 W 8 13 3 1 SW23 184 W 9 1423 P 06/28-03 31 7 1 55 57 W 9 15 3 1 SW21 155 W 9 1297 P 06/28-04 31 7 1 54 58 W10 16 3 1 SW22 153 W10 1322 P 06/28-05 31 7 1 54 56 W10 17 3 1 SW23 150 W10 1348 P 06/28-06 40 7 1 54 54 W10 16 3 1 W24 147 W10 1374 P 06/28-07 40 7 1 57 47 W 8 14 3 1 W24 1079 W10 9040 P 06/28-08 40 7 1 62 37 W 7 7 3 1 W23 2010 W10 16707 P 06/28-09 40 10 2 67 30 W 5 5 3 2 W23 2942 W 9 24373 P 06/28-10 40 10 2 72 24 W 5 5 3 2 W25 6247 W12 71566 G 06/28-11 40 10 2 75 21 SW 5 5 3 2 W26 9552 W13 118759 V 06/28-12 51 17 3 77 19 SW 6 6 3 3 W26 12857 W15 165952 E 06/28-13 51 17 3 79 18 SW 7 7 3 3 W23 13567 W15 174481 E 06/28-14 51 17 3 80 17 SW 9 15 3 3 SW18 14277 SW15 183011 E 06/28-15 51 17 3 80 17 SW10 16 3 3 SW16 14988 SW15 191540 E 06/28-16 51 17 3 81 17 SW10 17 3 3 SW17 14658 SW16 206700 E 06/28-17 51 17 3 80 18 SW10 16 3 3 SW20 14329 SW18 221859 E 06/28-18 48 10 2 78 20 SW 9 15 3 2 SW22 14000 SW20 237019 E 06/28-19 48 10 2 76 22 W 8 13 3 2 SW22 11547 SW18 187309 E 06/28-20 48 10 2 71 26 W 7 7 3 2 W21 9094 W16 137599 V 06/28-21 48 10 2 66 25 W 6 6 3 2 W20 6641 W15 87889 G 06/28-22 48 10 2 68 30 W 6 6 3 2 W18 5748 W12 64984 G 06/28-23 48 10 2 65 33 W 6 6 3 2 W17 3033 W10 33765 P 06/29-00 25 4 1 62 37 W 6 6 3 1 W16 319 W 9 2546 P 06/29-01 25 4 1 59 42 W 6 6 3 1 W16 269 W 8 2025 P 06/29-02 25 4 1 57 45 W 6 6 3 1 W16 219 W 8 1504 P 06/29-03 25 4 1 55 48 W 6 6 3 1 W16 169 W 7 983 P 06/29-04 25 4 1 53 50 W 6 6 3 1 W15 159 W 7 940 P 06/29-05 25 4 1 52 51 W 6 6 3 1 W15 148 W 7 897 P 06/29-06 22 4 1 51 52 W 6 6 3 1 W16 137 W 7 853 P 06/29-07 22 4 1 53 46 W 6 6 3 1 W16 1123 W 8 8491 P 06/29-08 22 4 1 59 35 W 5 5 3 1 W17 2110 W 8 16129 P 06/29-09 22 4 1 66 26 W 5 5 3 1 W20 3096 W 9 23767 P 06/29-10 22 4 1 72 21 W 5 5 3 1 W21 6012 W10 60691 G 06/29-11 22 4 1 76 17 W 5 5 3 1 W23 8927 W12 97614 G 06/29-12 42 10 2 79 15 W 5 5 3 2 W23 11842 W13 134538 V 06/29-13 42 10 2 81 14 W 6 6 3 2 W21 13878 W13 160026 E 06/29-14 42 10 2 83 14 W 6 6 3 2 W16 15914 W14 185515 E 06/29-15 42 10 2 83 14 W 6 6 3 2 W13 17950 W14 211003 E 06/29-16 42 10 2 83 14 W 5 5 3 2 W12 17206 W13 190227 E 06/29-17 42 10 2 82 15 NW 2 2 3 2 W12 16461 W12 169450 E 06/29-18 39 9 2 81 16 CALM 1 3 1 W12 15717 W10 148674 V 06/29-19 39 9 2 80 18 CALM 1 3 1 W13 12971 W 9 108740 V 06/29-20 39 9 2 78 20 CALM 1 3 1 W14 10225 W 7 68806 G 06/29-21 39 9 2 74 24 CALM 1 3 1 W14 7479 W 5 28872 P 06/29-22 39 9 2 70 28 CALM 1 3 1 W13 5085 W 5 19542 P 06/29-23 39 9 2 67 32 NW 2 2 3 1 W12 2692 NW 3 10212 P 06/30-00 28 6 1 64 36 W 2 2 3 1 W10 298 NW 3 882 P 06/30-01 28 6 1 60 40 W 2 2 3 1 W10 258 NW 3 841 P 06/30-02 28 6 1 58 43 W 3 3 3 1 W12 218 NW 5 799 P 06/30-03 28 6 1 56 45 W 3 3 3 1 W13 177 NW 5 757 P 06/30-04 28 6 1 55 46 W 3 3 3 1 W14 166 NW 5 732 P 06/30-05 28 6 1 53 47 W 5 5 3 1 W15 154 W 6 707 P 06/30-06 20 7 1 52 47 W 5 5 3 1 W17 142 W 6 682 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JARROD SAYER REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120627.SPRIN.01/BOU