FNUS75 KBYZ 271050
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR ASH CREEK...NCA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
450 AM MDT WED JUN 27 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0420 MDT ON JUNE 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

...PLUME DOMINANT ACTIVITY POSSIBLE TODAY...

A STRONG JET STREAM WILL BE OVER THE FIRE TODAY WHICH MAY RESULT
IN ERRATIC PLUME DOMINANT ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL
BECOME WEST THIS MORNING AND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS WILL BE 5 TO 15 MPH TODAY WITH RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES IN THE TEENS. EXPECT MARGINAL RH RECOVERIES TONIGHT
WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. THURSDAY
WILL BE WARMER WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE TEENS. SOUTHEAST
WINDS IN THE EARLY MORNING MAY BE GUSTY TOWARD RIDGETOP
ELEVATIONS...SHIFTING TO THE WEST AND BECOMING LIGHT IN THE
AFTERNOON. CHAMBERS

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING NORTHWEST
                    LATE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 TO 30 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
MAX HUMIDITY........42-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING SHIFTING
                    TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE MORNING SHIFTING
                    TO THE WEST 3 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CHAMBERS
REQUESTED BY...MERLIN SIOUX
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120627.ASHCR.01/BYZ