FNUS72 KMHX 280937 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR DAD FIRE...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 537 AM EDT THU JUN 28 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1533 EDT ON JUNE 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WARMING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TODAY AS UPPER RIDGE FROM THE WESTERN U.S. BEGINS TO AFFECT THE REGION. LIGHT WESTERLY BREEZE EXPECTED THIS MORNING OVER THE FIRE AREA...BEFORE SWITCHING TO SOUTH PER SEA BREEZE MOVING THROUGH BY MID AFTERNOON. A THERMAL TROUGH ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAIN WILL SQUEEZE LAND/SEA GRADIENT AND THIS WILL FORM THE SEA BREEZE...WHICH COULD GUST UPWARDS OF 15 KNOTS BY MID AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE 30S PERCENTILE THIS AFTERNOON. SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL. WINDS DIMINISH TO LESS THAN 10 KNOTS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT WITH RH VALS RECOVERING. HOT TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES LIKELY EXCEEDING 105 DEGREES EACH AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 1 TO 2 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 4 4 3 2 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................61 64 69 75 80 84 87 89 90 90 89 88 RH..................93 87 73 61 51 44 40 37 35 35 37 39 20 FT WIND DIR......SW W W W W W W W SW S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......2 3 2 3 3 4 5 5 5 6 8 9 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 5 10 15 15 LVORI...............7 6 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 ADI.................2 6 6 9 8 5 7 13 21 27 33 39 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 14 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................85 83 81 79 77 75 74 73 72 71 71 71 RH..................44 48 55 61 66 73 76 80 84 88 90 92 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S SW SW S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......9 8 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 10 9 8 10 10 LVORI...............2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 5 6 6 7 ADI.................42 9 10 10 9 6 6 7 7 6 5 6 HAINES INDEX........6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 16 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............4 4 4 5 9 13 16 19 20 19 16 13 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................71 73 78 82 86 90 92 94 95 95 95 94 RH..................96 88 78 69 61 54 50 46 45 46 48 50 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 LVORI...............7 5 4 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................7 9 10 14 25 31 34 37 41 44 48 50 HAINES INDEX........5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...LONKA REQUESTED BY...CROATAN OPERATIONS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120627.DADFI.01/MHX